İstanbulspor
vs
Antalyaspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Antalyaspor
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor
| Probability | İstanbulspor | Draw | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 24.9% | 33.4% |
| Market | 27.4% | 26.8% | 45.7% |
| Final | 31.0% | 26.3% | 42.7% |
| Edge | +14.2% | -1.9% | -12.4% |
Why Antalyaspor
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor match preview
İstanbulspor faces Antalyaspor in a closely contested match, with probabilities indicating a slight edge for the visitors at 38% compared to İstanbulspor's 36%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 62% chance of both scoring and a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of expected goals, İstanbulspor is projected to score 1.48, while Antalyaspor is slightly ahead at 1.54. İstanbulspor's recent form shows a mix of results, with their last six matches yielding one win, while Antalyaspor has secured three wins in their last six outings. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
İstanbulspor and Antalyaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
İstanbulspor and Antalyaspor attack and defence ratings
İstanbulspor
Antalyaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Bodrum FK v Bandırmaspor — match page
- Iğdır FK vs Boluspor
- Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor
- Vanspor FK v Ümraniyespor — match page
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü — team news & stats
- Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor
- Bursaspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats
- Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 — team news & stats
Before and after this match
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 42.7% | 2.34 | -12.4% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | İstanbulspor | 31.0% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Antalyaspor | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor stats
İstanbulspor and Antalyaspor recent form
| İstanbulspor |
LLWLLL |
| Antalyaspor |
LWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
İstanbulspor and Antalyaspor season so far
İstanbulspor record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-17 | Antalyaspor | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 | İstanbulspor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-03 | İstanbulspor | Antalyaspor | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-19 | İstanbulspor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 3-3 |
| 2022-10-21 | Antalyaspor | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 26.8%, away 45.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.45 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.01 |
| Marathonbet | 3.26 | 3.38 | 1.94 |
| Pinnacle | 3.31 | 3.45 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .