Boluspor
vs
Bodrum FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bodrum FK
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.74.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bodrum FK is the favourite, not a value bet.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boluspor vs Bodrum FK
| Probability | Boluspor | Draw | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.0% | 28.2% | 54.8% |
| Market | 19.9% | 25.1% | 54.9% |
| Final | 19.2% | 25.9% | 54.9% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.8% | -0.0% |
Why Bodrum FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (our 54.9% × 1.70 − 1).
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK match preview
Boluspor faces Bodrum FK in an upcoming 1. Lig match, with kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, Boluspor has a 16% chance of winning, while Bodrum FK is favored at 57%. The predicted scoreline suggests a close contest, with a 0-1 outcome being the most likely at 15%. Boluspor's recent form shows a struggle, recording one win in their last six matches, while Bodrum FK has been more successful, winning three of their last five.
The expected goals for this match indicate Boluspor at 0.72 and Bodrum FK at 1.59. Both teams have a 42% chance of scoring, and there is a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. In their last two encounters, Boluspor and Bodrum FK have each secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boluspor and Bodrum FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Boluspor and Bodrum FK attack and defence ratings
Boluspor
Bodrum FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor
- Keçiörengücü v Manisa F.K. — match page
- Vanspor FK v Sivasspor — match page
- Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor
- Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor — team news & stats
- Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodrum FK | 54.9% | 1.82 | -0.0% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boluspor | 19.2% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Bodrum FK | 54.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodrum FK win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.6% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-2 | 12.0% |
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK stats
Boluspor and Bodrum FK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Boluspor and Bodrum FK season so far
Boluspor record
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 11 matches.
Bodrum FK record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Bodrum FK | Boluspor | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Boluspor | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 25.1%, away 54.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.54 | 3.65 | 1.64 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.75 | 3.65 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.65 | 1.62 |
| Pinnacle | 4.80 | 3.84 | 1.67 |
| SBO | 3.98 | 3.31 | 1.62 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .