1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 10

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK

1 – 4 Full time

7′Yusuf Sertkaya
9′F. Apaydın
15′Vincent Aboubakar
23′Vincent Aboubakar
27′FernandoBerkay Aslan
45′Marcos SilvaAndré Poko
45′Eren KaradağFurkan Gedik
45′Tunahan ErgulJoseph Attamah
56′Boran Baskan
64′Mamadou ThiamDogan Can Davas
69′Boran BaskanMustafa Erdilman
75′Berkay Aslan
80′Ege Bilsel
81′Dogan Can Davas
90′Yusuf SertkayaFlorian Loshaj
90′F. ApaydınEmre Kaplan
90′Ege BilselElvir Gashijani

Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Buyuk, Yucel

Sarıyer 45%
Draw 30%
Bodrum FK 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 8
62 Possession % 38
7 Corners 3
9 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 3
4 Saves 1
403 Accurate passes 235

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySarıyerDrawBodrum FK
Model44.3%35.0%20.7%
Market45.8%27.9%26.4%
Final45.4%29.7%25.0%
Edge-0.4%+1.8%-1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sarıyer

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sarıyer ↓ / Bodrum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 10% 1 18% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Sarıyer and Bodrum FK expected goals

Sarıyer 1.08
Bodrum FK 0.65

Total expected goals: 1.73

Sarıyer and Bodrum FK attack and defence ratings

Sarıyer

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK: result vs prediction

Sarıyer 1 – 4 Bodrum FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sarıyer 45.4% 2.20 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.9% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 67.1% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.7% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sarıyer45.4%
Draw29.7%
Bodrum FK25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.1%
Under 2.574.9%
Both teams to scoreYes32.9%
No67.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)54.6%
Handicap -1Sarıyer win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss55.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.9%
1-017.9%
1-113.7%

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK stats

Sarıyer and Bodrum FK recent form

newest first
Sarıyer DWDLWW
Bodrum FK LDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sarıyer and Bodrum FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sarıyer record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

5Sarıyer wins 0Draws 2Bodrum FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Bodrum FKSarıyer1. Lig0-1
2025-12-27SarıyerBodrum FK1. Lig1-0
2022-03-05Bodrum FKSarıyer2. Lig3-0
2021-10-31SarıyerBodrum FK2. Lig1-2
2019-03-17SarıyerBodrum FK2. Lig3-1
2018-10-27Bodrum FKSarıyer2. Lig1-3
2016-09-21SarıyerBodrum FKTürkiye Kupası1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 27.9%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.98 3.24 3.42
Bet365 1.95 3.20 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 3.30 3.60
Betano 2.07 3.25 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.25 3.50
Dafabet 2.08 3.30 3.50
Marathonbet 1.96 3.24 3.34
Pinnacle 2.04 3.43 3.70
SBO 1.98 3.02 3.20
William Hill 2.05 3.25 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▼ -0.33
X 3.25 —
2 3.44 ▲ +0.69

9 snapshots recorded, from .