Sarıyer
vs
Bodrum FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sarıyer
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK
| Probability | Sarıyer | Draw | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 34.9% | 20.0% |
| Market | 39.2% | 27.9% | 32.9% |
| Final | 40.7% | 29.6% | 29.7% |
| Edge | +5.8% | +7.0% | -12.9% |
Why Sarıyer
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sarıyer below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK match preview
Sarıyer will face Bodrum FK in a 1. Lig matchup on October 13, 2026. The model gives Sarıyer a 39% chance of winning, while Bodrum FK has a 24% probability of securing a victory, with a draw at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Sarıyer, which has a 17% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Sarıyer will generate 0.93, compared to Bodrum FK's 0.68.
In terms of recent form, Sarıyer has recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Bodrum FK has had two wins and four draws in the same timeframe. Historically, Sarıyer has dominated their past two encounters, winning both without conceding. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate reliability in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sarıyer and Bodrum FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.73
Sarıyer and Bodrum FK attack and defence ratings
Sarıyer
Bodrum FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Bandırmaspor v Sivasspor — match page
- Pendikspor v Vanspor FK — match page
- Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
- Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
Before and after this match
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarıyer | 40.7% | 2.46 | +5.8% | 2.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarıyer | 40.7% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Bodrum FK | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sarıyer win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.0% |
| 1-0 | 18.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK stats
Sarıyer and Bodrum FK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sarıyer and Bodrum FK season so far
Sarıyer record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Bodrum FK record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Bodrum FK | Sarıyer | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sarıyer | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 27.9%, away 32.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.18 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.30 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.18 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .