Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 9

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü

0 – 2 Full time

23′E. Develi
25′Odise Roshi
33′E. Arslan
43′Mustafa Erdilman
45′E. ArslanFlorian Loshaj
53′Alcídio Raice
58′Berkay AslanJ. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
58′Mustafa ErdilmanRuben Providence
60′Sefer Yılmaz
61′Alcídio RaiceJefferson
75′Francis EzehMoryke Fofana
75′Odise RoshiHerculano·Nabian
77′Ege BilselKerem Kayaarası
85′J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
86′E. DeveliHalil Can Ayan
86′Mame Biram DioufOguzhan Ayaydin
89′Yusuf SertkayaBoran Baskan
90′Herculano·Nabian

Bodrum Ilce Stadi, BodrumReferee: Yusuf Adnan Kendirciler

Bodrum FK 34%
Draw 29%
Keçiörengücü 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
58 Possession % 42
7 Corners 1
13 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 4
415 Accurate passes 277

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodrum FKDrawKeçiörengücü
Model33.3%35.8%30.9%
Market34.8%26.9%38.2%
Final34.5%29.2%36.4%
Edge-1.5%+8.9%-7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Keçiörengücü

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodrum FK ↓ / Keçiörengücü → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 13% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 18%

Bodrum FK and Keçiörengücü expected goals

Bodrum FK 0.91
Keçiörengücü 0.86

Total expected goals: 1.77

Bodrum FK and Keçiörengücü attack and defence ratings

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Keçiörengücü

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü: result vs prediction

Bodrum FK 0 – 2 Keçiörengücü

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Keçiörengücü 36.4% 2.75 -7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.7% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score No 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.1% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodrum FK34.5%
Draw29.2%
Keçiörengücü36.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.3%
Under 2.573.7%
Both teams to scoreYes35.9%
No64.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.6%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)65.5%
Handicap -1Keçiörengücü win10.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss69.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.3%
1-114.7%
1-014.1%

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü stats

Bodrum FK and Keçiörengücü recent form

newest first
Bodrum FK DWLDDD
Keçiörengücü DDWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodrum FK and Keçiörengücü going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Keçiörengücü record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Bodrum FK wins 2Draws 4Keçiörengücü wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14Bodrum FKKeçiörengücü1. Lig4-3
2025-09-20KeçiörengücüBodrum FK1. Lig2-1
2024-04-06Bodrum FKKeçiörengücü1. Lig0-0
2023-11-11KeçiörengücüBodrum FK1. Lig1-1
2023-01-22Bodrum FKKeçiörengücü1. Lig1-2
2022-08-21KeçiörengücüBodrum FK1. Lig1-3
2019-03-10Bodrum FKKeçiörengücü2. Lig0-2
2018-10-21KeçiörengücüBodrum FK2. Lig3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.8%, draw 26.9%, away 38.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.57 3.34 2.33
Bet365 2.55 3.40 2.35
BetVictor 2.63 3.40 2.38
Betano 2.75 3.35 2.42
Betfair 2.60 3.40 2.38
Dafabet 2.75 3.40 2.44
Marathonbet 2.57 3.34 2.33
Pinnacle 2.72 3.63 2.46
SBO 2.58 2.97 2.24
William Hill 2.62 3.30 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 —
X 3.38 ▲ +0.08
2 2.38 ▼ -0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .