Keçiörengücü
vs
Sivasspor
1 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | Amilton | ||
| 46′ | H. AyanA. Edumondo | ||
| 48′ | F. Ezeh | ||
| 53′ | Y. Kefkir | ||
| 58′ | C. CelikS. Kavrazli | ||
| 58′ | V. EthemiB. Kapacak | ||
| 61′ | O. RoshiE. Yilmaz | ||
| 66′ | AmiltonE. Gokay | ||
| 73′ | E. Gokay | ||
| 75′ | E. Ceesay | ||
| 77′ | I. Akdag | ||
| 77′ | O. Korkmaz | ||
| 78′ | O. Korkmaz | ||
| 79′ | F. EzehM. Fofana | ||
| 87′ | I. KaraogulH. Nabian | ||
| 89′ | Wellington Nascimento | ||
| 90′ | E. CeesayC. Yilmaz | ||
| 90′ | O. AksoyC. Charisis |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 8 |
| 372 | Accurate passes | 293 |
Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor
| Probability | Keçiörengücü | Draw | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.6% | 19.6% | 10.8% |
| Market | 46.8% | 25.6% | 27.6% |
| Final | 52.5% | 24.1% | 23.4% |
| Edge | +22.9% | -6.0% | -16.8% |
Why Keçiörengücü
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Keçiörengücü below the model: +22.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Keçiörengücü and Sivasspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Keçiörengücü and Sivasspor attack and defence ratings
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor: result vs prediction
Keçiörengücü 1 – 1 Sivasspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keçiörengücü | 52.5% | 1.91 | +22.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Keçiörengücü win | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keçiörengücü | 52.5% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Sivasspor | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Keçiörengücü win | 46.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 30.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor stats
Keçiörengücü and Sivasspor recent form
| Keçiörengücü |
DWWDDW |
| Sivasspor |
DWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Keçiörengücü and Sivasspor going into this match
Keçiörengücü record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Sivasspor | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Keçiörengücü | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Keçiörengücü | Sivasspor | Türkiye Kupası | 1-4 |
| 2024-01-18 | Sivasspor | Keçiörengücü | Türkiye Kupası | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 25.6%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.56 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.56 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.94 | 3.39 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.04 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .