Garuda Lions
Today
1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 8

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK

2 – 2 Full time

3′Serdar Gürler
41′Luis Mago
55′Serdar Gürler
57′Hüseyin Karabey
60′Felix Afena-Gyan
62′Leon CaliskanLeandro Bacuna
69′Oluwakorede OsundinaDriton Camaj
75′Arda ÇolakDouglas Tanque
75′Serdar GürlerÖzder Özcan
75′Felix Afena-GyanMoustapha Camara
76′Ali Kaan GünerenIdris Furat
76′Mamady DiarraIbrahim Sissoko
78′Moustapha Camara
81′Oguzhan MaturAli Barak
83′Douglas Tanque
85′Driton Camaj
88′Soner GönülArda Öztürk
90′Yasin Uzunoğlu

Mugla Ataturk StadyumuReferee: Dogukan Yildirim, Türkiye

Muğlaspor 29%
Draw 30%
Iğdır FK 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
59 Possession % 41
6 Corners 7
7 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
334 Accurate passes 221

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMuğlasporDrawIğdır FK
Model36.2%33.5%30.2%
Market26.6%29.2%44.2%
Final29.0%30.3%40.7%
Edge+9.6%+4.3%-13.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Iğdır FK

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Muğlaspor ↓ / Iğdır FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 11% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Muğlaspor and Iğdır FK expected goals

Muğlaspor 1.05
Iğdır FK 0.94

Total expected goals: 1.99

Muğlaspor and Iğdır FK attack and defence ratings

Muğlaspor

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Iğdır FK

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK: result vs prediction

Muğlaspor 2 – 2 Iğdır FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Iğdır FK 40.7% 2.46 -13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.9% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 59.0% 1.70 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.8% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Muğlaspor29.0%
Draw30.3%
Iğdır FK40.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.1%
Under 2.567.9%
Both teams to scoreYes41.0%
No59.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.3%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)71.0%
Handicap -1Iğdır FK win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss69.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.0%
1-114.8%
1-013.0%

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK stats

Muğlaspor and Iğdır FK recent form

newest first
Muğlaspor DDWWDD
Iğdır FK WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Muğlaspor and Iğdır FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Muğlaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Iğdır FK record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.6%, draw 29.2%, away 44.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.62 2.88 2.07
Bet365 3.40 3.20 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.25 2.05
Betano 3.65 3.10 2.07
Betfair 3.40 3.10 2.00
Marathonbet 3.54 2.89 2.04
Pinnacle 3.90 3.01 2.16
SBO 2.73 3.00 2.22
William Hill 3.40 3.20 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▲ +0.20
X 3.10 ▲ +0.28
2 2.05 ▼ -0.25

10 snapshots recorded, from .