Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 7

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969

1 – 0 Full time

28′Devran Senyurt
36′Devran SenyurtHuseyin Karabey
45′Soner Gönül
52′Eray Korkmaz
52′Muammer Denizhan TaskanZdravko Dimitrov
52′Baba AlhassanAdem Eren Kabak
56′Uğur Adem Gezer
57′Alim Öztürk
66′Mallik WilksAhmet Uluk
66′Eray KorkmazKerim Alıcı
70′Arda ÇolakLeon Çalışkan
70′Serdar GürlerOzder Ozcan
74′Dogan Erdogan
81′Đorđe DenićO. Yıldırım
86′Dogan ErdoganLeandro Bacuna
86′Felix Ohene Afena-GyanArda Öztürk

Aktepe Stadium, AnkaraReferee: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe, Türkiye

Iğdır FK 39%
Draw 29%
Mardin 1969 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 1
55 Possession % 45
3 Corners 6
24 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
353 Accurate passes 249

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIğdır FKDrawMardin 1969
Model37.1%30.6%32.4%
Market40.2%28.4%31.4%
Final39.4%29.0%31.6%
Edge-3.2%+2.2%+1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Iğdır FK

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Iğdır FK ↓ / Mardin 1969 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Iğdır FK and Mardin 1969 expected goals

Iğdır FK 1.22
Mardin 1969 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.35

Iğdır FK and Mardin 1969 attack and defence ratings

Iğdır FK

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Mardin 1969

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969: result vs prediction

Iğdır FK 1 – 0 Mardin 1969

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Iğdır FK 39.4% 2.54 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.9% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Iğdır FK39.4%
Draw29.0%
Mardin 196931.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.8%
Under 2.558.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.6%
Handicap -1Iğdır FK win16.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss62.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-010.8%
1-010.3%

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 stats

Iğdır FK and Mardin 1969 recent form

newest first
Iğdır FK WWWLLW
Mardin 1969 WDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Iğdır FK and Mardin 1969 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Iğdır FK record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mardin 1969 record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 28.4%, away 31.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.28 3.18 2.89
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.25 2.90
Betano 2.30 3.25 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.30 2.80
Marathonbet 2.26 3.18 2.83
Pinnacle 2.39 3.35 2.96
SBO 2.15 2.97 2.71
William Hill 2.38 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▼ -0.01
X 3.20 ▲ +0.01
2 2.90 —

5 snapshots recorded, from .