Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK

1 – 0 Full time

19′Ruben Providence
31′Uğur Adem Gezer
38′Tonio Teklić
45′Ruben ProvidenceFernando
52′Tonio Teklić
58′Baba Alhassan
63′Mustafa ErdilmanJ. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
63′E. ArslanVincent Aboubakar
67′Mallik WilksMuammer Denizhan Taskan
72′Florian LoshajAdem Turk
78′Tonio TeklićAdem Eren Kabak
78′Olarenwaju KayodeO. Yıldırım
83′Ege BilselKerem Kayaarası
86′O. Yıldırım
90′Fernando
90′Đorđe DenićŞahverdi Çetin
90′Zdravko DimitrovAhmet Uluk

21 Kasım Stadium, MardinReferee: Emre Kaan Caliskan, Türkiye

Mardin 1969 50%
Draw 29%
Bodrum FK 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 0
37 Possession % 63
5 Corners 2
19 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
0 Saves 3
175 Accurate passes 313

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMardin 1969DrawBodrum FK
Model46.1%37.1%16.8%
Market51.9%26.6%21.5%
Final50.5%29.2%20.3%
Edge-5.9%+10.6%-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Mardin 1969

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.00 vs 0.50.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mardin 1969 ↓ / Bodrum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 23% 1 21% 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 77%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 23%

Mardin 1969 and Bodrum FK expected goals

Mardin 1969 1.00
Bodrum FK 0.50

Total expected goals: 1.50

Mardin 1969 and Bodrum FK attack and defence ratings

Mardin 1969

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK: result vs prediction

Mardin 1969 1 – 0 Bodrum FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mardin 1969 50.5% 1.98 -5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 74.1% 1.35 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.7% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.9% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mardin 196950.5%
Draw29.2%
Bodrum FK20.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.1%
Under 2.580.9%
Both teams to scoreYes25.9%
No74.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.7%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)49.5%
Handicap -1Mardin 1969 win18.7%
Push (exactly one goal)27.3%
Loss53.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.4%
1-021.3%
1-112.2%

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK stats

Mardin 1969 and Bodrum FK recent form

newest first
Mardin 1969 DDWWD
Bodrum FK DDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Mardin 1969 and Bodrum FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mardin 1969 record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 26.6%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.77 3.40 4.10
1xBet 1.73 3.44 4.32
Bet365 1.73 3.30 4.20
BetVictor 1.73 3.50 4.40
Betano 1.83 3.40 4.15
Betfair 1.70 3.50 4.33
Dafabet 1.81 3.50 4.30
Marathonbet 1.71 3.44 4.25
Pinnacle 1.76 3.74 4.57
SBO 1.76 3.14 3.84
Superbet 1.82 3.45 4.15
Unibet 1.79 3.40 3.75
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.76 ▼ -0.54
X 3.44 ▲ +0.20
2 4.25 ▲ +1.45

10 snapshots recorded, from .