Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor

0 – 3 Full time

12′Manadi Camara
17′Daniel Moreno
33′Daniel Moreno
45′Muhamed BuljubašićNicolas Janvier
45′Florent HasaniEnsar Kemaloglu
45′Hayrullah BilazerFurkan Orak
45′Erkan KaşEnes Alıç
57′Mame Mor Faye
65′Taulant Seferi
66′Mikail OkyarOnur Ulaş
68′Taulant Seferi
70′Manadi CamaraMurat Cem Akpinar
70′Görkem SağlamOğulcan Çağlayan
71′Ensar Kemaloglu
73′Semih Güler
74′Yusuf ErdoğanAltin Zeqiri
75′Enes Alıç
83′Taulant SeferiAtaol Taylan Karapınar
87′Furkan Orak
87′Sinan KurtMarco Dulca
90′Altin Zeqiri

Esenler Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Ali Yilmaz, Türkiye

Esenler Erokspor 38%
Draw 30%
Kayserispor 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
53 Possession % 47
6 Corners 1
10 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 3
352 Accurate passes 326

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEsenler EroksporDrawKayserispor
Model34.5%37.7%27.8%
Market39.4%27.0%33.6%
Final38.2%29.7%32.1%
Edge-4.9%+10.7%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Esenler Eroksp ↓ / Kayserispor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 14% 1 16% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

Esenler Erokspor and Kayserispor expected goals

Esenler Erokspor 0.86
Kayserispor 0.74

Total expected goals: 1.61

Esenler Erokspor and Kayserispor attack and defence ratings

Esenler Erokspor

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Kayserispor

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor: result vs prediction

Esenler Erokspor 0 – 3 Kayserispor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Esenler Erokspor 38.2% 2.62 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78.2% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 68.4% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Esenler Erokspor38.2%
Draw29.7%
Kayserispor32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.521.8%
Under 2.578.2%
Both teams to scoreYes31.6%
No68.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Esenler Erokspor win12.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.4%
1-016.0%
1-114.2%

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor stats

Esenler Erokspor and Kayserispor recent form

newest first
Esenler Erokspor DLDDDL
Kayserispor DLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Esenler Erokspor and Kayserispor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Esenler Erokspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kayserispor record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.7%, draw 26.8%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.30 3.30 2.68
Bet365 2.25 3.40 2.70
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.75
Betano 2.15 3.40 3.10
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.17 3.45 3.05
Marathonbet 2.30 3.30 2.68
Pinnacle 2.45 3.52 2.80
Unibet 2.30 3.20 2.70
William Hill 2.40 3.30 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.07
X 3.35 ▲ +0.02
2 2.70 ▲ +0.07

9 snapshots recorded, from .