1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 7

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor

4 – 0 Full time

25′Taulant Seferi
34′Daniel Moreno
39′Muhlis DagasanVefa Temel
44′Daniel Moreno
45′Kubilay SönmezElvin Mendy
45′Ali AkmanIlian Iliev
56′Manadi CamaraEnsar Kemaloglu
56′Oğulcan ÇağlayanFlorent Hasani
66′Alieu ChamEssap Njie
73′Ömer Faruk DuymazBerk Ali Nizam
74′Daniel MorenoDenis Radu
81′Görkem SağlamMurat Cem Akpinar
81′Semih GülerKayra Cihan
83′Taulant Seferi

RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, KayseriReferee: Turgut Doman, Türkiye

Kayserispor 63%
Draw 22%
İstanbulspor 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
67 Possession % 33
7 Corners 1
10 Fouls 9
6 Offsides 1
1 Saves 2
544 Accurate passes 240

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKayserisporDrawİstanbulspor
Model59.1%22.4%18.4%
Market64.1%21.7%14.2%
Final62.9%21.9%15.3%
Edge-5.0%+0.8%+4.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Kayserispor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kayserispor ↓ / İstanbulspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 5% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Kayserispor and İstanbulspor expected goals

Kayserispor 2.10
İstanbulspor 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.21

Kayserispor and İstanbulspor attack and defence ratings

Kayserispor

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.79 -21%

İstanbulspor

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor: result vs prediction

Kayserispor 4 – 0 İstanbulspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kayserispor 62.9% 1.59 -5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.3% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.7% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.9% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kayserispor62.9%
Draw21.9%
İstanbulspor15.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.7%
12 (either side)78.1%
X2 (draw or away)37.1%
Handicap -1Kayserispor win37.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss40.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.9%
2-08.9%

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor stats

Kayserispor and İstanbulspor recent form

newest first
Kayserispor WDLWWW
İstanbulspor LLDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kayserispor and İstanbulspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kayserispor record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

İstanbulspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Kayserispor wins 1Draws 2İstanbulspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-01-22KayserisporİstanbulsporSüper Lig0-1
2023-08-18İstanbulsporKayserisporSüper Lig1-1
2023-03-24İstanbulsporKayserisporFriendlies Clubs2-1
2023-01-29İstanbulsporKayserisporSüper Lig2-4
2022-08-13KayserisporİstanbulsporSüper Lig1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.4%, draw 21.9%, away 14.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.43 4.10 6.39
888Sport 1.44 4.00 6.00
Bet365 1.42 4.00 6.25
BetVictor 1.40 4.33 6.50
Betano 1.47 4.35 5.80
Betfair 1.36 4.20 6.50
Dafabet 1.45 4.30 6.20
Marathonbet 1.42 4.10 6.15
Pinnacle 1.44 4.59 6.90
SBO 1.39 3.76 5.51
Unibet 1.53 3.75 5.10
William Hill 1.44 4.20 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.42 ▼ -0.02
X 4.20 ▲ +0.02
2 6.39 ▲ +0.27

12 snapshots recorded, from .