Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 8

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor

0 – 1 Full time

40′G. Saglam
58′O. KayodeO. Yildirim
58′D. DenicB. Balat
65′G. SaglamE. Kemaloglu
68′D. Moreno
73′M. WilksD. Taskan
74′K. AliciE. Korkmaz
76′B. KeserD. Radu
79′Z. DimitrovA. Uluk
87′S. KurtF. Hasani
87′T. SeferiM. Dulca
87′M. UcarO. Caglayan
90′O. Yildirim

21 Kasım Stadium, MardinReferee: R. Coskunses

Mardin 1969 37%
Draw 30%
Kayserispor 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 7
37 Possession % 63
1 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
6 Saves 1
230 Accurate passes 467

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMardin 1969DrawKayserispor
Model36.0%33.2%30.8%
Market36.7%28.8%34.5%
Final36.6%29.9%33.6%
Edge-0.7%+4.4%-3.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mardin 1969 ↓ / Kayserispor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 13% 15% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor expected goals

Mardin 1969 1.07
Kayserispor 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.04

Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor attack and defence ratings

Mardin 1969

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Kayserispor

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor: result vs prediction

Mardin 1969 0 – 1 Kayserispor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mardin 1969 36.6% 2.74 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 58.0% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.0% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mardin 196936.6%
Draw29.9%
Kayserispor33.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.3%
Under 2.566.7%
Both teams to scoreYes42.0%
No58.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.4%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Mardin 1969 win14.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss64.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-014.4%
1-012.6%

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor stats

Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor recent form

newest first
Mardin 1969 LWDDWW
Kayserispor WWDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mardin 1969 record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Kayserispor record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 28.8%, away 34.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.47 3.02 2.62
Bet365 2.45 3.20 2.70
BetVictor 2.50 3.20 2.63
Betano 2.52 3.15 2.72
Betfair 2.40 3.25 2.63
Marathonbet 2.47 3.02 2.62
Pinnacle 2.60 3.21 2.83
SBO 2.43 2.99 2.47
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.47 ▼ -0.11
X 3.15 ▲ +0.05
2 2.63 ▲ +0.07

10 snapshots recorded, from .