1. Lig
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Bursaspor
vs
Mardin 1969
1 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Kerim Alıcı | ||
| 21′ | Tonio Teklić | ||
| 25′ | Zeki Yavru | ||
| 38′ | Ivan Saranic | ||
| 45′ | Lewis BakerEyüp Akcan | ||
| 45′ | Emir Kaan GultekinBaran Başyiğit | ||
| 45′ | Ivan SaranicHüseyin Maldar | ||
| 47′ | Alperen Babacan | ||
| 49′ | Uğur Adem Gezer | ||
| 62′ | Tonio Teklić | ||
| 64′ | Kerim AlıcıEray Korkmaz | ||
| 72′ | M. ŞengülBerkay Dogan | ||
| 72′ | Olarenwaju KayodeO. Yıldırım | ||
| 80′ | B. GökErtuğrul Ersoy | ||
| 81′ | Kelechi Iheanacho | ||
| 85′ | Đorđe DenićMallik Wilks | ||
| 85′ | Tonio TeklićEmre Taşdemir | ||
| 87′ | M. Er | ||
| 90′ | Baba Alhassan | ||
| 90′ | Zdravko Dimitrov | ||
| 90′ | Zdravko Dimitrov | ||
| 90′ | Kerem Matışlı | ||
| 90′ | Baba Alhassan |
Bursaspor
55%
Draw
26%
Mardin 1969
19%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 75 | Possession % | 25 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 6 |
| 537 | Accurate passes | 119 |
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969
| Probability | Bursaspor | Draw | Mardin 1969 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 29.6% | 19.8% |
| Market | 56.4% | 24.6% | 19.0% |
| Final | 55.0% | 25.8% | 19.2% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +1.2% | +0.2% |
Why Bursaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 expected goals
Bursaspor
1.43
Mardin 1969
0.80
Total expected goals: 2.23
Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 attack and defence ratings
Bursaspor
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Mardin 1969
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969: result vs prediction
Bursaspor 1 – 2 Mardin 1969
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Sivasspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats
- Bodrum FK v Keçiörengücü — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer — team news & stats
- Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
- Boluspor v Antalyaspor — match page
- Iğdır FK v Batman Petrolspor — match page
- Kayserispor v Manisa F.K. — match page
- İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor
Before and after this match
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bursaspor | 55.0% | 1.82 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bursaspor | 55.0% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Mardin 1969 | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bursaspor win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 stats
Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 recent form
| Bursaspor |
WDWWWL |
| Mardin 1969 |
LLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 going into this match
Bursaspor record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mardin 1969 record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
2Bursaspor wins
0Draws
0Mardin 1969 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Bursaspor | Mardin 1969 | 2. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Mardin 1969 | Bursaspor | 2. Lig | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 24.6%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.70 | 4.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 3.95 | 5.10 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.29 | 4.11 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.61 ▼ -0.09
X
3.70 ▲ +0.08
2
4.78 ▲ +0.35
13 snapshots recorded, from .