Muğlaspor
vs
Bursaspor
0 – 3 Full time
| 35′ | Yasin Uzunoglu | ||
| 35′ | Ertuğrul Ersoy | ||
| 45′ | Yasin UzunogluIbrahim Sissoko | ||
| 52′ | Jurgen Çelhaka | ||
| 58′ | Kelechi Iheanacho | ||
| 62′ | Korede OsundinaPoyraz Yildirim | ||
| 64′ | Halil AkbunarHüseyin Maldar | ||
| 72′ | A. KazmazBilal Ceylan | ||
| 72′ | Jurgen ÇelhakaDaniel Avramovski | ||
| 72′ | Oguzhan MaturDriton Camaj | ||
| 74′ | Eyüp AkcanLewis Baker | ||
| 74′ | Amine BoutrahEmir Kaan Gultekin | ||
| 79′ | Kelechi Iheanacho | ||
| 83′ | Hüseyin Maldar | ||
| 84′ | Rahmetullah BerisbekZeki Yavru | ||
| 84′ | Kelechi IheanachoBaran Başyiğit | ||
| 90′ | Luis Mago |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 227 | Accurate passes | 411 |
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor
| Probability | Muğlaspor | Draw | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.5% | 30.3% | 34.1% |
| Market | 18.0% | 24.2% | 57.8% |
| Final | 22.4% | 25.7% | 51.9% |
| Edge | +4.4% | +1.5% | -5.9% |
Why Bursaspor
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Muğlaspor and Bursaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Muğlaspor and Bursaspor attack and defence ratings
Muğlaspor
Bursaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: result vs prediction
Muğlaspor 0 – 3 Bursaspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bursaspor | 51.9% | 1.93 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Muğlaspor | 22.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Bursaspor | 51.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bursaspor win | 14.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor stats
Muğlaspor and Bursaspor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Muğlaspor and Bursaspor going into this match
Muğlaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bursaspor record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-24 | Muğlaspor | Bursaspor | Türkiye Kupası | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.0%, draw 24.2%, away 57.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.20 | 3.78 | 1.54 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 5.10 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.85 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 5.10 | 3.78 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 5.35 | 4.01 | 1.61 |
| SBO | 4.49 | 3.45 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .