Bandırmaspor
vs
Sivasspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bandırmaspor
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor
| Probability | Bandırmaspor | Draw | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.2% | 28.2% | 15.6% |
| Market | 39.4% | 28.3% | 32.3% |
| Final | 43.6% | 28.3% | 28.2% |
| Edge | +16.8% | -0.1% | -16.7% |
Why Bandırmaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.65.
- The market prices Bandırmaspor below the model: +16.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor match preview
In the upcoming match between Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor, Bandırmaspor holds a significant advantage with a 60% probability of winning, while Sivasspor's chances stand at 12%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Bandırmaspor, with an 18% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Bandırmaspor will score 1.53, compared to Sivasspor's 0.56.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Bandırmaspor recording a sequence of L-D-W-L-D-D, while Sivasspor has D-D-W-D-L-D in their last matches. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory, indicating a competitive rivalry. The model suggests a draw has a 28% probability, reflecting the potential for a closely contested match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor attack and defence ratings
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK — team news & stats
- Pendikspor v Vanspor FK — match page
- Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
- Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
Before and after this match
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 43.6% | 2.29 | +16.8% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 43.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Sivasspor | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.9% |
| No | 60.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win | 33.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 40.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.6% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.6% |
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor stats
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor recent form
| Bandırmaspor |
WLDWLD |
| Sivasspor |
WDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor season so far
Bandırmaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Bandırmaspor | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sivasspor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.4%, draw 28.3%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.16 | 2.79 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.16 | 2.72 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .