Bandırmaspor
vs
Sivasspor
1 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Ebrima Ceesay | ||
| 62′ | Ebrima CeesayBurak Kapacak | ||
| 62′ | Salih KavrazlıCihat Celik | ||
| 64′ | Hakan BilgiçAli Ulgen | ||
| 64′ | Enes CinemreMuhammed Gümüşkaya | ||
| 66′ | Cihat Celik | ||
| 70′ | Emirhan AyhanMuhammet Harun Genc | ||
| 70′ | Kerem DönertaşGianni Bruno | ||
| 71′ | Remi Mulumba | ||
| 76′ | Valon Ethemi | ||
| 83′ | Tosin KehindeDame Bamba Seck | ||
| 83′ | Enes Aydın | ||
| 87′ | Valon EthemiClinton Duodu | ||
| 90′ | Oguzhan AksoyYılmaz Cin |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 372 | Accurate passes | 115 |
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor
| Probability | Bandırmaspor | Draw | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.7% | 26.6% | 13.7% |
| Market | 43.8% | 27.6% | 28.6% |
| Final | 47.8% | 27.3% | 24.9% |
| Edge | +4.0% | -0.2% | -3.7% |
Why Bandırmaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.65.
- The market prices Bandırmaspor below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor attack and defence ratings
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor: result vs prediction
Bandırmaspor 1 – 1 Sivasspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 47.8% | 2.09 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 47.8% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Sivasspor | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 40.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.6% |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-1 | 12.0% |
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor stats
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor recent form
| Bandırmaspor |
WLDWLD |
| Sivasspor |
WDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor going into this match
Bandırmaspor record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Bandırmaspor | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sivasspor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-09 | Bandırmaspor | Sivasspor | Türkiye Kupası | 2-4 |
| 2017-05-07 | Sivasspor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 3-0 |
| 2016-12-17 | Bandırmaspor | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 27.6%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.30 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.44 | 3.32 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.11 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .