1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 9

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor

4 – 1 Full time

17′Okan ErdoganTuran Tuzlacik
21′Rey Manaj
33′Hakan Yesil
34′Ismaila MangaEmrah Başsan
44′Rey Manaj
45′Ebrima Ceesay
55′Rey Manaj
56′damir hreljaJonson Clarke-Harris
56′Hakan YesilY. Sönmez
57′Samuel Abifade
58′Bekir Karadeniz
63′Valon Ethemi
66′Uğur ÇiftçiYusuf Kefkir
66′Ebrima CeesayBurak Kapacak
67′Salih Kavrazlı
68′Bekir KaradenizVinko Soldo
68′Kerem KalafatErdem Gokce
69′Kerem Kalafat
78′Salih Kavrazlıclinton duodo
78′Valon EthemiEmre Gökay
87′Y. Sönmez

Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu, SivasReferee: Alpaslan Sen

Sivasspor 40%
Draw 28%
Pendikspor 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
5 Corners 5
16 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 3
285 Accurate passes 389

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sivasspor vs Pendikspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySivassporDrawPendikspor
Model42.4%29.6%27.9%
Market38.6%27.9%33.5%
Final39.6%28.3%32.1%
Edge+3.9%+1.7%-5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Sivasspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.07.
  • The market prices Sivasspor below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sivasspor ↓ / Pendikspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Sivasspor and Pendikspor expected goals

Sivasspor 1.37
Pendikspor 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.43

Sivasspor and Pendikspor attack and defence ratings

Sivasspor

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Pendikspor

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor: result vs prediction

Sivasspor 4 – 1 Pendikspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sivasspor 39.6% 2.53 +3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.1% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sivasspor39.6%
Draw28.3%
Pendikspor32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.9%
Under 2.556.1%
Both teams to scoreYes50.1%
No49.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)60.4%
Handicap -1Sivasspor win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-010.7%
0-010.1%

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor stats

Sivasspor and Pendikspor recent form

newest first
Sivasspor DDWDLD
Pendikspor DDWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sivasspor and Pendikspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sivasspor record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

Pendikspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Sivasspor wins 1Draws 1Pendikspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01SivassporPendikspor1. Lig0-0
2025-08-31PendiksporSivasspor1. Lig2-1
2024-02-25SivassporPendiksporSüper Lig4-1
2023-10-07PendiksporSivassporSüper Lig2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 27.9%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.24 2.66
Bet365 2.30 3.10 2.70
BetVictor 2.38 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.42 3.20 2.80
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.70
Dafabet 2.42 3.30 2.80
Marathonbet 2.31 3.24 2.66
Pinnacle 2.46 3.51 2.80
SBO 2.26 2.93 2.59
William Hill 2.40 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.34 ▼ -0.05
X 3.25 ▼ -0.02
2 2.70 ▼ -0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .