Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 9

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor

0 – 1 Full time

20′Guélor Kanga
58′Yusuf Ozer
59′Ömer Faruk DuymazAlieu Cham
59′Ilian IlievMamadou Fall
61′Pape Habib GueyeYusuf Erdoğan
61′Guélor KangaTugay Kaçar
69′Elvin Mendy
70′Nicolas JanvierRecep Niyaz
70′Burak CobanKubilay Kanatsızkuş
77′Berk Ali NizamAytaç Kara
77′Yusuf OzerPhellipe Cardoso Araújo
77′Duran ŞahinKubilay Sönmez
87′Mikail OkyarFerhat Yazgan

Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Resat Onur Coskunses

İstanbulspor 32%
Draw 26%
Esenler Erokspor 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
4 Corners 6
9 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 2
378 Accurate passes 496

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityİstanbulsporDrawEsenler Erokspor
Model51.4%27.7%20.9%
Market25.7%25.7%48.6%
Final32.1%26.2%41.7%
Edge+6.4%+0.5%-6.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

İstanbulspor ↓ / Esenler Eroksp → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 12% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor expected goals

İstanbulspor 1.57
Esenler Erokspor 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.50

İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor attack and defence ratings

İstanbulspor

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Esenler Erokspor

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor: result vs prediction

İstanbulspor 0 – 1 Esenler Erokspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Esenler Erokspor 41.7% 2.40 -6.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.5% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 79.1% 1.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2İstanbulspor32.1%
Draw26.2%
Esenler Erokspor41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.5%
Under 2.554.5%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.9%
Handicap -1Esenler Erokspor win7.5%
Push (exactly one goal)13.4%
Loss79.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-011.8%
2-010.2%

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor stats

İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor recent form

newest first
İstanbulspor WLLLDL
Esenler Erokspor LDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

İstanbulspor record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Esenler Erokspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3İstanbulspor wins 0Draws 2Esenler Erokspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-17İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor1. Lig1-4
2025-09-24Esenler Eroksporİstanbulspor1. Lig5-0
2025-05-04Esenler Eroksporİstanbulspor1. Lig0-3
2025-01-05İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor1. Lig4-0
2024-12-18Esenler EroksporİstanbulsporTürkiye Kupası1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 26.1%, away 47.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.54 3.46 1.87
Bet365 3.50 3.50 1.85
BetVictor 3.50 3.50 1.91
Betano 3.40 3.50 2.00
Betfair 3.40 3.60 1.91
Dafabet 3.45 3.55 1.99
Marathonbet 3.46 3.46 1.85
Pinnacle 3.91 3.81 1.87
SBO 3.05 3.06 1.94
William Hill 3.50 3.40 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.18
X 3.50 ▼ -0.08
2 1.85 ▼ -0.11

13 snapshots recorded, from .