İstanbulspor
vs
Esenler Erokspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Esenler Erokspor
0 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor
| Probability | İstanbulspor | Draw | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 27.7% | 20.8% |
| Market | 26.3% | 26.1% | 47.6% |
| Final | 32.6% | 26.5% | 40.9% |
| Edge | +25.2% | +1.6% | -26.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor match preview
İstanbulspor faces Esenler Erokspor in a match where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. İstanbulspor has a 34% chance of winning, while Esenler Erokspor holds a slight edge at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 6% probability. Both teams show a moderate likelihood of scoring, with 49% for both teams to find the net.
Recent form indicates struggles for both sides, as İstanbulspor has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Esenler Erokspor has not won in their last five games. The expected goals model suggests İstanbulspor is favored to score 1.58 goals compared to Esenler Erokspor's 0.92. Historically, Esenler Erokspor has won both of their last two encounters against İstanbulspor, adding to the intrigue of this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor attack and defence ratings
İstanbulspor
Esenler Erokspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Sivasspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats
- Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer — team news & stats
- Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
- Boluspor v Antalyaspor — match page
- Iğdır FK v Batman Petrolspor — match page
- Kayserispor v Manisa F.K. — match page
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor — team news & stats
- Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969
Before and after this match
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esenler Erokspor | 40.9% | 2.45 | -26.8% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | İstanbulspor | 32.6% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Esenler Erokspor | 40.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esenler Erokspor win | 7.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.4% | |
| Loss | 79.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor stats
İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor recent form
| İstanbulspor |
WLLLDL |
| Esenler Erokspor |
LDLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor season so far
İstanbulspor record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Esenler Erokspor record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | İstanbulspor | Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig | 1-4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Esenler Erokspor | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 5-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Esenler Erokspor | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 0-3 |
| 2025-01-05 | İstanbulspor | Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig | 4-0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Esenler Erokspor | İstanbulspor | Türkiye Kupası | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 26.1%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.54 | 3.46 | 1.87 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.55 | 1.99 |
| Marathonbet | 3.46 | 3.46 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68 | 3.67 | 1.91 |
| SBO | 3.05 | 3.06 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .