1. Lig
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Manisa F.K.
vs
İstanbulspor
0 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | D. Tuncer | ||
| 33′ | E. Mendy | ||
| 63′ | A. VargasO. Kahraman | ||
| 65′ | O. Demir | ||
| 65′ | D. TuncerA. Cham | ||
| 65′ | I. IlievO. Duymaz | ||
| 73′ | M. FallM. Sol | ||
| 73′ | B. NizamV. Temel | ||
| 73′ | D. AydinK. Sonmez | ||
| 77′ | M. Sol | ||
| 77′ | V. Karakus | ||
| 86′ | A. IbikY. Gureler | ||
| 87′ | Y. Gureler | ||
| 90′ | Y. TalumN. Lemina | ||
| 90′ | M. Sol | ||
| 90′ | B. Toure |
Manisa F.K.
52%
Draw
24%
İstanbulspor
24%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 69 | Possession % | 31 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 477 | Accurate passes | 183 |
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor
| Probability | Manisa F.K. | Draw | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| Market | 47.9% | 25.3% | 26.8% |
| Final | 52.1% | 23.8% | 24.2% |
| Edge | +16.5% | -6.1% | -10.5% |
Why Manisa F.K.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Manisa F.K. below the model: +16.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor expected goals
Manisa F.K.
2.51
İstanbulspor
1.23
Total expected goals: 3.73
Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor attack and defence ratings
Manisa F.K.
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.95 -5%
İstanbulspor
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.40 +40%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor: result vs prediction
Manisa F.K. 0 – 1 İstanbulspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
- Muğlaspor v Iğdır FK — match page
- Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor — team news & stats
- Sarıyer vs Boluspor
- Batman Petrolspor v Bursaspor — match page
- Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük — team news & stats
- Pendikspor v Bodrum FK — match page
- Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manisa F.K. | 52.1% | 1.92 | +16.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Manisa F.K. win | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manisa F.K. | 52.1% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| İstanbulspor | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manisa F.K. win | 43.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 3-1 | 7.7% |
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor stats
Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor recent form
| Manisa F.K. |
DLLDDW |
| İstanbulspor |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor going into this match
Manisa F.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
İstanbulspor record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Manisa F.K. wins
1Draws
3İstanbulspor wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Manisa F.K. | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-25 | İstanbulspor | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-19 | Manisa F.K. | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | İstanbulspor | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 3-2 |
| 2022-01-09 | Manisa F.K. | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-14 | İstanbulspor | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 25.3%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.58 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.58 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.94 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.19 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 ▼ -0.02
X
3.60 —
2
3.40 ▲ +0.07
9 snapshots recorded, from .