1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 9

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K.

3 – 2 Full time

24′Yasin Güreler
38′Benhur Keser
45′Yasin GürelerOsman Kaynak
52′Daniel Moreno
54′Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya
54′Cenk SenDenis Radu
60′Semih Güler
60′Cheikne Sylla
63′Birama ToureAlenis Vargas
71′Manadi CamaraFlorent Hasani
71′Benhur KeserEnsar Kemaloglu
79′Yusuf TalumOsman Kahraman
82′Görkem SağlamMurat Cem Akpinar
82′Taulant SeferiOğulcan Çağlayan
86′Yassine BenrahouNoha Lemina
87′Cheikne Sylla
89′Gökhan Değirmenci
90′Cheikne Sylla
90′Vedat Karakuş
90′Murat Cem Akpinar
90′Sinan Kurt
90′Christophe Herelle
90′Julien Anziani

RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium, KayseriReferee: Alper Akarsu

Kayserispor 64%
Draw 21%
Manisa F.K. 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
60 Possession % 40
6 Corners 4
13 Fouls 7
6 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
458 Accurate passes 278

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKayserisporDrawManisa F.K.
Model56.9%26.2%16.9%
Market66.6%19.8%13.6%
Final64.1%21.4%14.4%
Edge-2.4%+1.6%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Kayserispor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kayserispor ↓ / Manisa F.K. → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Kayserispor and Manisa F.K. expected goals

Kayserispor 1.69
Manisa F.K. 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.51

Kayserispor and Manisa F.K. attack and defence ratings

Kayserispor

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Manisa F.K.

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K.: result vs prediction

Kayserispor 3 – 2 Manisa F.K.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kayserispor 64.1% 1.56 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.6% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.1% 2.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kayserispor64.1%
Draw21.4%
Manisa F.K.14.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.6%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)35.9%
Handicap -1Kayserispor win32.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss43.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.6%
1-112.4%
2-011.6%

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. stats

Kayserispor and Manisa F.K. recent form

newest first
Kayserispor WWWDLW
Manisa F.K. LDLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kayserispor and Manisa F.K. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kayserispor record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Manisa F.K. record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Kayserispor wins 1Draws 0Manisa F.K. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-12-19Manisa F.K.KayserisporTürkiye Kupası3-3
2019-12-05KayserisporManisa F.K.Türkiye Kupası3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 20.3%, away 14.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.38 4.45 6.38
Bet365 1.38 4.50 6.25
BetVictor 1.40 4.40 6.50
Betano 1.42 4.30 6.80
Betfair 1.36 4.60 6.50
Dafabet 1.43 4.70 6.40
Marathonbet 1.33 4.60 6.70
Pinnacle 1.37 4.93 7.87
SBO 1.37 3.98 5.42
William Hill 1.40 4.33 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.37 ▼ -0.03
X 4.60 ▲ +0.05
2 6.70 ▲ +0.35

13 snapshots recorded, from .