Manisa F.K.
vs
Esenler Erokspor
1 – 1 Full time
| 35′ | Nicolas Janvier | ||
| 37′ | Pape Habib Gueye | ||
| 39′ | K. Yurdakul | ||
| 57′ | Luccas Claro | ||
| 63′ | Enes Alıç | ||
| 68′ | Pape Habib GueyeKubilay Kanatsızkuş | ||
| 74′ | Osman KaynakYasin Güreler | ||
| 75′ | Burak CobanAltin Zeqiri | ||
| 75′ | Mame Mor FayeYusuf Erdoğan | ||
| 78′ | Yusuf TalumOsman Kahraman | ||
| 80′ | Ada Ibik | ||
| 84′ | Mikail OkyarRecep Niyaz | ||
| 84′ | Nicolas JanvierFerhat Yazgan | ||
| 89′ | Yassine BenrahouYunus Emre Dursun | ||
| 90′ | Guélor Kanga | ||
| 90′ | Guélor Kanga |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 296 | Accurate passes | 438 |
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
| Probability | Manisa F.K. | Draw | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 28.9% | 17.7% |
| Market | 27.7% | 26.1% | 46.2% |
| Final | 34.1% | 26.8% | 39.1% |
| Edge | +6.4% | +0.7% | -7.1% |
Why Esenler Erokspor
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor attack and defence ratings
Manisa F.K.
Esenler Erokspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor: result vs prediction
Manisa F.K. 1 – 1 Esenler Erokspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esenler Erokspor | 39.1% | 2.56 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manisa F.K. | 34.1% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Esenler Erokspor | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esenler Erokspor win | 5.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.3% | |
| Loss | 82.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor stats
Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor recent form
| Manisa F.K. |
LLDLLD |
| Esenler Erokspor |
WLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor going into this match
Manisa F.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Esenler Erokspor record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Esenler Erokspor | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Manisa F.K. | Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig | 3-4 |
| 2025-03-08 | Esenler Erokspor | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-28 | Manisa F.K. | Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 26.1%, away 46.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.89 |
| Pinnacle | 3.63 | 3.60 | 2.01 |
| SBO | 3.00 | 3.12 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .