Pendikspor
vs
Vanspor FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pendikspor
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK
| Probability | Pendikspor | Draw | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 25.9% | 24.2% |
| Market | 58.4% | 23.2% | 18.5% |
| Final | 56.2% | 23.9% | 19.9% |
| Edge | -8.5% | +2.7% | +5.8% |
Why Pendikspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK match preview
Pendikspor enters this match with a probability of 56% to win against Vanspor FK, who have a 20% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Pendikspor, with an expected goals tally of 1.74 for Pendikspor and 1.15 for Vanspor FK. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Pendikspor recording one win in their last six matches, while Vanspor FK has one win in their last six as well.
In terms of scoring, our model indicates a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood that both teams will score. The head-to-head record shows that in their last two encounters, neither team has secured a win, resulting in two draws. This match presents an intriguing contest between two teams looking to improve their standings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pendikspor and Vanspor FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Pendikspor and Vanspor FK attack and defence ratings
Pendikspor
Vanspor FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Bandırmaspor v Sivasspor — match page
- Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK — team news & stats
- Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
- Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
Before and after this match
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 56.2% | 1.78 | -8.5% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 56.2% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Vanspor FK | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pendikspor win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 47.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK stats
Pendikspor and Vanspor FK recent form
| Pendikspor |
LDDWLD |
| Vanspor FK |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pendikspor and Vanspor FK season so far
Pendikspor record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Vanspor FK record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Pendikspor | Vanspor FK | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Vanspor FK | Pendikspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.4%, draw 23.2%, away 18.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.85 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 3.90 | 4.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .