1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 9

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor

0 – 2 Full time

Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu, AkhisarReferee: Yigit Arslan

Vanspor FK 28%
Draw 28%
Bandırmaspor 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVanspor FKDrawBandırmaspor
Model16.9%28.8%54.3%
Market31.4%28.1%40.5%
Final27.8%28.3%43.9%
Edge-14.5%+0.6%+13.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Bandırmaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.72.
  • The market prices Bandırmaspor below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vanspor FK ↓ / Bandırmaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Vanspor FK and Bandırmaspor expected goals

Vanspor FK 0.72
Bandırmaspor 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.20

Vanspor FK and Bandırmaspor attack and defence ratings

Vanspor FK

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Bandırmaspor

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor: result vs prediction

Vanspor FK 0 – 2 Bandırmaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bandırmaspor 43.9% 2.28 +13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.2% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.7% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vanspor FK27.8%
Draw28.3%
Bandırmaspor43.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.7%
Under 2.562.3%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.1%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)72.2%
Handicap -1Bandırmaspor win28.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss45.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.3%
1-113.0%
0-012.3%

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor stats

Vanspor FK and Bandırmaspor recent form

newest first
Vanspor FK LDDLDW
Bandırmaspor LDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vanspor FK and Bandırmaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vanspor FK record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bandırmaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Vanspor FK wins 2Draws 3Bandırmaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01BandırmasporVanspor FK1. Lig2-0
2025-08-29Vanspor FKBandırmaspor1. Lig1-2
2020-01-11BandırmasporVanspor FK2. Lig1-0
2019-09-01Vanspor FKBandırmaspor2. Lig2-2
2018-10-31BandırmasporVanspor FKTürkiye Kupası0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 28.1%, away 40.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.90 3.20 2.23
Bet365 2.88 3.20 2.25
BetVictor 2.90 3.25 2.25
Betano 2.95 3.30 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.25 2.20
Dafabet 2.95 3.35 2.30
Marathonbet 2.96 3.22 2.13
Pinnacle 3.09 3.46 2.29
SBO 2.85 3.02 2.14
William Hill 2.90 3.20 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▼ -0.28
X 3.24 ▼ -0.11
2 2.25 ▲ +0.12

14 snapshots recorded, from .