1. Lig
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Bandırmaspor
vs
Ümraniyespor
0 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | T. Glumac | ||
| 46′ | T. TasciS. Hostikka | ||
| 46′ | A. BadjiE. Ayhan | ||
| 71′ | M. BostanC. Soukou | ||
| 71′ | B. YilmazA. Babacan | ||
| 72′ | R. MulumbaR. Dilek | ||
| 83′ | O. YildirimT. Kosoko | ||
| 83′ | M. GumuskayaE. Cinemre | ||
| 83′ | T. KehindeH. Genc | ||
| 88′ | C. Soukou | ||
| 90′ | A. BlancoF. Koita | ||
| 90′ | L. Lima |
Bandırmaspor
55%
Draw
26%
Ümraniyespor
18%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 522 | Accurate passes | 208 |
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor
| Probability | Bandırmaspor | Draw | Ümraniyespor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.4% | 25.1% | 8.5% |
| Market | 51.2% | 27.0% | 21.8% |
| Final | 55.0% | 26.5% | 18.5% |
| Edge | +15.2% | -1.9% | -13.4% |
Why Bandırmaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.43.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bandırmaspor below the model: +15.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Bandırmaspor and Ümraniyespor expected goals
Bandırmaspor
1.63
Ümraniyespor
0.43
Total expected goals: 2.07
Bandırmaspor and Ümraniyespor attack and defence ratings
Bandırmaspor
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.49 -51%
Ümraniyespor
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor: result vs prediction
Bandırmaspor 0 – 1 Ümraniyespor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Muğlaspor v Iğdır FK — match page
- Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor — team news & stats
- Sarıyer vs Boluspor
- Batman Petrolspor v Bursaspor — match page
- Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük — team news & stats
- Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor
- Pendikspor v Bodrum FK — match page
- Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 55.0% | 1.82 | +15.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 55.0% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Ümraniyespor | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.1% |
| No | 70.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win | 38.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.0% | |
| Loss | 33.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.8% |
| 2-0 | 16.9% | |
| 0-0 | 13.6% |
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor stats
Bandırmaspor and Ümraniyespor recent form
| Bandırmaspor |
DWLDDD |
| Ümraniyespor |
LLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandırmaspor and Ümraniyespor going into this match
Bandırmaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ümraniyespor record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Bandırmaspor wins
1Draws
2Ümraniyespor wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Ümraniyespor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Bandırmaspor | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Bandırmaspor | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Ümraniyespor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Bandırmaspor | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 4-1 |
| 2023-09-29 | Ümraniyespor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-06 | Bandırmaspor | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Ümraniyespor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2021-01-23 | Bandırmaspor | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-12 | Ümraniyespor | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 27.0%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.38 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.45 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.38 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.39 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.01 | 3.58 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.79 ▲ +0.02
X
3.40 ▲ +0.01
2
4.20 ▼ -0.08
10 snapshots recorded, from .