Esenler Erokspor
vs
Fatih Karagümrük
0 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | M. Okyar | ||
| 22′ | G. Kanga | ||
| 39′ | B. Ozturk | ||
| 45′ | E. Akbaba | ||
| 46′ | H. BilazerF. Orak | ||
| 46′ | O. UlasLuccas Claro | ||
| 53′ | T. Ahmed | ||
| 57′ | C. TosunD. Tokoz | ||
| 64′ | R. CivelekT. Cukur | ||
| 70′ | D. Tokoz | ||
| 77′ | E. AlicT. Kacar | ||
| 81′ | E. AkbabaY. Onogo | ||
| 81′ | A. PesicD. Verde | ||
| 84′ | N. JanvierY. Ozyurt | ||
| 86′ | A. Stanojevic | ||
| 89′ | M. OkyarF. Yazgan | ||
| 90′ | T. Ahmed |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 375 | Accurate passes | 230 |
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
| Probability | Esenler Erokspor | Draw | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.7% | 33.5% | 33.8% |
| Market | 45.5% | 27.4% | 27.1% |
| Final | 42.3% | 28.9% | 28.7% |
| Edge | -12.8% | +6.1% | +6.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esenler Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Esenler Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük attack and defence ratings
Esenler Erokspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: result vs prediction
Esenler Erokspor 0 – 2 Fatih Karagümrük
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esenler Erokspor | 42.3% | 2.36 | -12.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esenler Erokspor | 42.3% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esenler Erokspor win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 67.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 12.3% |
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük stats
Esenler Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük recent form
| Esenler Erokspor |
DLDLDD |
| Fatih Karagümrük |
DLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esenler Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük going into this match
Esenler Erokspor record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fatih Karagümrük record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | Esenler Erokspor | Fatih Karagümrük | Türkiye Kupası | 2-5 |
| 2025-04-09 | Esenler Erokspor | Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Fatih Karagümrük | Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2020-11-24 | Fatih Karagümrük | Esenler Erokspor | Türkiye Kupası | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 27.4%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.54 | 3.52 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.05 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .