Fatih Karagümrük
vs
Manisa F.K.
1 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya | ||
| 31′ | Aleksandar Pešić | ||
| 54′ | Yasin GürelerFirat İnal | ||
| 65′ | Yassine BenrahouK. Yurdakul | ||
| 66′ | Cenk TosunTiago Cukur | ||
| 71′ | Julien Anziani | ||
| 77′ | Dorukhan ToközDaniele Verde | ||
| 79′ | Yusuf Talum | ||
| 87′ | Alenis VargasOsman Kahraman | ||
| 87′ | Yusuf TalumNoha Lemina | ||
| 90′ | Aleksandar Pešić |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 385 | Accurate passes | 258 |
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.
| Probability | Fatih Karagümrük | Draw | Manisa F.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 27.1% | 33.4% |
| Market | 48.5% | 26.3% | 25.2% |
| Final | 46.2% | 26.5% | 27.3% |
| Edge | -9.0% | +0.8% | +8.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fatih Karagümrük and Manisa F.K. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Fatih Karagümrük and Manisa F.K. attack and defence ratings
Fatih Karagümrük
Manisa F.K.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.: result vs prediction
Fatih Karagümrük 1 – 1 Manisa F.K.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fatih Karagümrük | 46.2% | 2.16 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fatih Karagümrük | 46.2% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Manisa F.K. | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fatih Karagümrük win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. stats
Fatih Karagümrük and Manisa F.K. recent form
| Fatih Karagümrük |
LDDWWL |
| Manisa F.K. |
LLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fatih Karagümrük and Manisa F.K. going into this match
Fatih Karagümrük record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Manisa F.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-02 | Manisa F.K. | Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Fatih Karagümrük | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 0-2 |
| 2019-05-21 | Fatih Karagümrük | Manisa F.K. | 2. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-17 | Manisa F.K. | Fatih Karagümrük | 2. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2019-03-16 | Fatih Karagümrük | Manisa F.K. | 2. Lig | 0-2 |
| 2018-10-27 | Manisa F.K. | Fatih Karagümrük | 2. Lig | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.5%, draw 26.3%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.50 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.83 | 3.71 |
| SBO | 1.90 | 3.08 | 3.13 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .