1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor

1 – 2 Full time

20′Cheikne Sylla
27′Kelechi Iheanacho
45′B. GökTural Bayramov
45′Juergen ElitimSoner Aydoğdu
52′Christophe Herelle
54′Zeki YavruRahmetullah Berisbek
58′Tural Bayramov
66′Yassine Benrahou
67′Hüseyin MaldarBaran Başyiğit
73′Yusuf TalumK. Yurdakul
78′Halil AkbunarIvan Saranic
82′Julien AnzianiOsman Kahraman
83′Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya
86′Alperen Babacan
90′Kelechi Iheanacho
90′Vedat Karakuş

Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri, ManisaReferee: Burak Demirkiran, Türkiye

Manisa F.K. 25%
Draw 25%
Bursaspor 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
49 Possession % 51
4 Corners 5
11 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
0 Saves 1
380 Accurate passes 359

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityManisa F.K.DrawBursaspor
Model33.9%26.9%39.2%
Market21.8%24.4%53.8%
Final24.8%25.0%50.2%
Edge+12.2%+2.5%-14.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Bursaspor

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 5 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Manisa F.K. ↓ / Bursaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor expected goals

Manisa F.K. 1.40
Bursaspor 1.52

Total expected goals: 2.92

Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor attack and defence ratings

Manisa F.K.

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Bursaspor

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor: result vs prediction

Manisa F.K. 1 – 2 Bursaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bursaspor 50.2% 1.99 -14.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.1% 1.66 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.8% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Manisa F.K.24.8%
Draw25.0%
Bursaspor50.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes60.1%
No39.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.8%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)75.2%
Handicap -1Bursaspor win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss60.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-28.7%
2-18.0%

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor stats

Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor recent form

newest first
Manisa F.K. LDDWWW
Bursaspor WWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Manisa F.K. record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bursaspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Manisa F.K. wins 1Draws 1Bursaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-05-01Manisa F.K.Bursaspor1. Lig1-3
2021-12-11BursasporManisa F.K.1. Lig1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.8%, draw 24.4%, away 53.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.10 3.75 1.70
1xBet 4.31 3.74 1.67
Bet365 4.20 3.50 1.67
BetVictor 4.20 3.80 1.70
Betano 4.25 3.75 1.72
Betfair 4.20 3.80 1.67
Dafabet 4.30 3.80 1.74
Marathonbet 4.25 3.74 1.65
Pinnacle 4.48 4.07 1.71
SBO 3.77 3.44 1.69
Superbet 4.15 3.75 1.73
Unibet 4.20 3.50 1.68
William Hill 4.20 3.80 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.20 ▼ -0.30
X 3.75 ▲ +0.12
2 1.70 ▲ +0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .