1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.

4 – 2 Full time

9′Loic Kouagba
14′K. Yurdakul
16′Alim Öztürk
25′Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan
32′Noha LeminaYassine Benrahou
32′Ahmet ŞenBirama Toure
32′Kerem ArıkCheikne Sylla
45′Julien Anziani
45′Osman KahramanYusuf Talum
57′Arda Çolak
63′Arda ÇolakDouglas Tanque
65′Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan
67′Giovanni CrociataEfe-Kaan Sihlaroglu
67′Yasin GürelerFirat İnal
68′Dino HotićMoustapha Camara
71′Birama Toure
73′Firat İnal
78′Gökcan KayaOzder Ozcan
78′Alim ÖztürkArda Öztürk
89′Yusuf Talum
90′Huseyin Karabey
90′Soner Gönül

Aktepe Stadium, AnkaraReferee: Suleyman Bahadir, Türkiye

Iğdır FK 43%
Draw 28%
Manisa F.K. 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
52 Possession % 48
7 Corners 6
15 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
5 Saves 2
318 Accurate passes 277

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIğdır FKDrawManisa F.K.
Model34.0%30.1%35.9%
Market45.4%26.9%27.7%
Final42.6%27.7%29.7%
Edge-11.5%+3.2%+8.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Iğdır FK ↓ / Manisa F.K. → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. expected goals

Iğdır FK 1.19
Manisa F.K. 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.42

Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. attack and defence ratings

Iğdır FK

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Manisa F.K.

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.: result vs prediction

Iğdır FK 4 – 2 Manisa F.K.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Iğdır FK 42.6% 2.35 -11.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.3% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Iğdır FK42.6%
Draw27.7%
Manisa F.K.29.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.7%
Under 2.556.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.3%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Iğdır FK win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
0-19.6%

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. stats

Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. recent form

newest first
Iğdır FK WLLWDL
Manisa F.K. DDWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Iğdır FK record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Manisa F.K. record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Iğdır FK wins 2Draws 0Manisa F.K. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Iğdır FKManisa F.K.1. Lig0-0
2025-08-30Manisa F.K.Iğdır FK1. Lig1-1
2025-03-04Manisa F.K.Iğdır FK1. Lig0-1
2024-10-20Iğdır FKManisa F.K.1. Lig1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 26.9%, away 27.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.95 3.40 3.35
1xBet 2.03 3.34 3.26
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.60
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.30
Betano 2.07 3.35 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.25
Dafabet 2.06 3.45 3.40
Marathonbet 2.01 3.34 3.20
Pinnacle 2.15 3.55 3.30
SBO 1.92 3.09 3.06
Superbet 2.00 3.40 3.45
Unibet 2.08 3.20 3.05
William Hill 2.10 3.30 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▼ -0.07
X 3.40 ▲ +0.02
2 3.30 ▲ +0.19

8 snapshots recorded, from .