1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü

0 – 2 Full time

13′M. Diouf
21′M. Diouf
45′Mame Biram Diouf
59′E. OzkayimogluZ. Dursun
59′H. DiazT. Artuc
66′M. MertD. Yildiz
67′Fernando Escobar
69′A. EdumondoJefferson
69′I. KaraogulH. Ayan
77′A. SaygiA. Ozdemir
77′L. F. EscobarF. E. Kacmaz
80′F. EzehE. Yilmaz
80′O. RoshiM. Fofana
84′Mustafa Alptekin Cayli
84′E. DeveliO. Ayaydin
85′Abdulsamet Kırım

Bolu Atatürk Stadium, BoluReferee: Yucel Buyuk, Türkiye

Boluspor 18%
Draw 22%
Keçiörengücü 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
46 Possession % 54
2 Corners 6
8 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 2
4 Saves 2
345 Accurate passes 393

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolusporDrawKeçiörengücü
Model19.1%23.0%57.9%
Market17.5%21.9%60.6%
Final17.9%22.2%59.9%
Edge+1.6%+1.1%-2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Keçiörengücü

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boluspor ↓ / Keçiörengücü → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Boluspor and Keçiörengücü expected goals

Boluspor 1.11
Keçiörengücü 2.04

Total expected goals: 3.14

Boluspor and Keçiörengücü attack and defence ratings

Boluspor

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Keçiörengücü

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü: result vs prediction

Boluspor 0 – 2 Keçiörengücü

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Keçiörengücü 59.9% 1.67 -2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.8% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.2% 1.69 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.1% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.1% 2.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boluspor17.9%
Draw22.2%
Keçiörengücü59.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.8%
Under 2.539.2%
Both teams to scoreYes59.2%
No40.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.1%
12 (either side)77.8%
X2 (draw or away)82.1%
Handicap -1Keçiörengücü win35.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss42.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
1-29.9%
0-29.0%

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü stats

Boluspor and Keçiörengücü recent form

newest first
Boluspor LLLLWL
Keçiörengücü DDWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boluspor and Keçiörengücü going into this match

league record before kick-off

Boluspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.

Keçiörengücü record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Boluspor wins 5Draws 1Keçiörengücü wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-24KeçiörengücüBoluspor1. Lig5-1
2025-08-24BolusporKeçiörengücü1. Lig2-1
2025-02-09BolusporKeçiörengücü1. Lig1-1
2024-08-31KeçiörengücüBoluspor1. Lig1-1
2024-02-03KeçiörengücüBoluspor1. Lig1-2
2023-09-02BolusporKeçiörengücü1. Lig0-0
2023-03-19BolusporKeçiörengücü1. Lig3-1
2022-10-08KeçiörengücüBoluspor1. Lig1-1
2022-02-12BolusporKeçiörengücü1. Lig0-0
2021-09-16KeçiörengücüBoluspor1. Lig0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.5%, draw 21.9%, away 60.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.20 4.20 1.50
1xBet 5.54 4.10 1.48
Bet365 5.00 3.90 1.53
BetVictor 5.25 4.20 1.50
Betano 5.20 4.15 1.55
Betfair 5.50 4.33 1.44
Dafabet 5.60 4.40 1.50
Marathonbet 5.35 4.05 1.48
Pinnacle 5.35 4.35 1.56
SBO 4.84 3.87 1.46
Superbet 5.20 4.25 1.52
Unibet 5.00 3.85 1.52
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.20 ▼ -0.72
X 4.15 ▲ +0.15
2 1.50 —

7 snapshots recorded, from .