Muğlaspor
vs
Boluspor
2 – 0 Full time
Muğlaspor vs Boluspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Muğlaspor vs Boluspor
| Probability | Muğlaspor | Draw | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.6% | 31.5% | 20.9% |
| Market | 59.8% | 23.4% | 16.8% |
| Final | 56.7% | 25.5% | 17.8% |
| Edge | -12.2% | +8.1% | +4.1% |
Why Muğlaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.76.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Muğlaspor and Boluspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
Muğlaspor and Boluspor attack and defence ratings
Muğlaspor
Boluspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Muğlaspor vs Boluspor: result vs prediction
Muğlaspor 2 – 0 Boluspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Muğlaspor vs Boluspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Muğlaspor | 56.7% | 1.76 | -12.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Muğlaspor | 56.7% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Boluspor | 17.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.9% |
| No | 60.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Muğlaspor win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Muğlaspor vs Boluspor stats
Muğlaspor and Boluspor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Muğlaspor and Boluspor going into this match
Muğlaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Boluspor record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
Muğlaspor vs Boluspor head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Muğlaspor vs Boluspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.8%, draw 23.4%, away 16.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.50 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.65 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.95 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 3.90 | 5.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.16 | 5.16 |
| Superbet | 1.54 | 4.00 | 5.35 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .