1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 3

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor

0 – 0 Full time

Bodrum Ilce Stadi, BodrumReferee: Ibrahim Guner, Türkiye

Bodrum FK 48%
Draw 30%
Muğlaspor 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodrum FKDrawMuğlaspor
Model46.7%33.4%20.0%
Market49.0%28.3%22.8%
Final48.4%29.6%22.1%
Edge-2.3%+5.1%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Bodrum FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodrum FK ↓ / Muğlaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 9% 1 17% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Bodrum FK and Muğlaspor expected goals

Bodrum FK 1.17
Muğlaspor 0.68

Total expected goals: 1.85

Bodrum FK and Muğlaspor attack and defence ratings

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Muğlaspor

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor: result vs prediction

Bodrum FK 0 – 0 Muğlaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bodrum FK 48.4% 2.07 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.7% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 64.8% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodrum FK48.4%
Draw29.6%
Muğlaspor22.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.3%
Under 2.571.7%
Both teams to scoreYes35.2%
No64.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.9%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)51.6%
Handicap -1Bodrum FK win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.6%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.2%
0-017.0%
1-113.7%

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor stats

Bodrum FK and Muğlaspor recent form

newest first
Bodrum FK DLLWWL
Muğlaspor DL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodrum FK and Muğlaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Muğlaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 28.2%, away 22.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.40 4.60
1xBet 1.82 3.22 4.18
Bet365 1.85 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 1.87 3.20 4.00
Betano 1.91 3.25 4.00
Betfair 1.85 3.30 3.90
Dafabet 1.75 3.45 4.70
Marathonbet 1.80 3.22 4.10
Pinnacle 1.88 3.37 4.44
SBO 1.90 2.98 3.49
Superbet 1.90 3.25 4.00
Unibet 1.82 3.15 4.00
William Hill 1.95 3.00 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▲ +0.10
X 3.22 ▼ -0.15
2 4.00 ▼ -0.45

2 snapshots recorded, from .