1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 4

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK

0 – 0 Full time

63′E. KocR. Providence
63′A. TurkP. Brazao
81′Y. TalumO. Kahraman
84′B. BaskanE. Arslan
84′A. HabesogluK. Kayaarasi
86′A. VargasN. Lemina
86′Y. BenrahouA. Sen
90′E. BilselK. Cengizer

Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri, ManisaReferee: Asen Albayrak, Türkiye

Manisa F.K. 39%
Draw 28%
Bodrum FK 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
56 Possession % 44
4 Corners 4
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 1
423 Accurate passes 310

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityManisa F.K.DrawBodrum FK
Model51.7%29.7%18.6%
Market34.7%27.5%37.8%
Final38.9%28.1%33.0%
Edge+17.0%+2.2%-19.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Manisa F.K.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Manisa F.K. below the model: +17.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Manisa F.K. ↓ / Bodrum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 15% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK expected goals

Manisa F.K. 1.41
Bodrum FK 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.16

Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK attack and defence ratings

Manisa F.K.

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK: result vs prediction

Manisa F.K. 0 – 0 Bodrum FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Manisa F.K. 38.9% 2.57 +17.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 59.0% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.4% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Manisa F.K.38.9%
Draw28.1%
Bodrum FK33.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.7%
Under 2.563.3%
Both teams to scoreYes41.0%
No59.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.0%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.1%
Handicap -1Manisa F.K. win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss48.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.1%
1-113.4%
0-012.7%

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK stats

Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK recent form

newest first
Manisa F.K. DWWWLW
Bodrum FK DDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Manisa F.K. record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Manisa F.K. wins 0Draws 1Bodrum FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22Bodrum FKManisa F.K.1. Lig1-2
2025-09-28Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK1. Lig0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 27.5%, away 37.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.60 3.25 2.39
Betano 2.72 3.40 2.40
Betfair 2.60 3.30 2.38
Dafabet 2.70 3.45 2.38
Marathonbet 2.60 3.25 2.39
Unibet 2.50 3.15 2.48

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 —
X 3.27 —
2 2.39 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .