Sivasspor
vs
Manisa F.K.
2 – 2 Full time
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.
| Probability | Sivasspor | Draw | Manisa F.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 28.7% | 46.6% |
| Market | 44.2% | 27.0% | 28.8% |
| Final | 39.3% | 27.5% | 33.2% |
| Edge | -19.5% | +1.7% | +17.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. attack and defence ratings
Sivasspor
Manisa F.K.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.: result vs prediction
Sivasspor 2 – 2 Manisa F.K.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
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- Iğdır FK vs Kayserispor
- Antalyaspor v Pendikspor — match page
- Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor — team news & stats
- Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü
- Boluspor v Mardin 1969 — match page
- Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sivasspor | 39.3% | 2.54 | -19.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sivasspor | 39.3% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Manisa F.K. | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sivasspor win | 9.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.2% | |
| Loss | 75.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. stats
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. recent form
| Sivasspor |
LDLWLL |
| Manisa F.K. |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. going into this match
Sivasspor record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manisa F.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Manisa F.K. | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sivasspor | Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 27.0%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.28 | 3.18 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.28 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.54 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.04 | 3.00 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .