Kayserispor
vs
Bursaspor
1 – 2 Full time
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kayserispor vs Bursaspor
| Probability | Kayserispor | Draw | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 32.1% | 28.9% |
| Market | 39.6% | 29.5% | 30.9% |
| Final | 39.5% | 30.2% | 30.4% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +2.6% | -2.0% |
Why Kayserispor
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kayserispor and Bursaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Kayserispor and Bursaspor attack and defence ratings
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor: result vs prediction
Kayserispor 1 – 2 Bursaspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor — team news & stats
- Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor
- Antalyaspor v Sarıyer — match page
- Muğlaspor vs Boluspor — team news & stats
- İstanbulspor v Fatih Karagümrük — match page
- Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK — team news & stats
- Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor
- Esenler Erokspor v Iğdır FK — match page
Before and after this match
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kayserispor | 39.5% | 2.53 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kayserispor | 39.5% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Bursaspor | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kayserispor win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.5% |
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor stats
Kayserispor and Bursaspor recent form
| Kayserispor |
WWWWLD |
| Bursaspor |
LWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kayserispor and Bursaspor going into this match
Kayserispor record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bursaspor record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-26 | Kayserispor | Bursaspor | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-18 | Bursaspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2018-03-02 | Bursaspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2017-09-30 | Kayserispor | Bursaspor | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
| 2017-02-17 | Kayserispor | Bursaspor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2016-09-16 | Bursaspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
| 2016-04-22 | Kayserispor | Bursaspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2015-11-27 | Bursaspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2014-03-17 | Kayserispor | Bursaspor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2013-10-21 | Bursaspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kayserispor vs Bursaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 29.5%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 2.97 | 3.04 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 2.97 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 3.09 | 3.14 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 2.87 | 2.71 |
| Superbet | 2.37 | 3.15 | 2.92 |
| Unibet | 2.32 | 3.15 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .