Antalyaspor
vs
Sarıyer
1 – 2 Full time
Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer
| Probability | Antalyaspor | Draw | Sarıyer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.5% | 27.6% | 48.9% |
| Market | 46.9% | 27.7% | 25.4% |
| Final | 41.0% | 27.7% | 31.3% |
| Edge | -23.4% | -0.1% | +23.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antalyaspor and Sarıyer expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Antalyaspor and Sarıyer attack and defence ratings
Antalyaspor
Sarıyer
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer: result vs prediction
Antalyaspor 1 – 2 Sarıyer
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 41.0% | 2.44 | -23.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 41.0% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Sarıyer | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win | 9.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.4% | |
| Loss | 76.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer stats
Antalyaspor and Sarıyer recent form
| Antalyaspor |
LLWWLD |
| Sarıyer |
LDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antalyaspor and Sarıyer going into this match
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sarıyer record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Antalyaspor vs Sarıyer odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 27.7%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.26 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.26 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.37 | 3.68 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .