Esenler Erokspor
vs
Iğdır FK
0 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | R. NiyazF. Yazgan | ||
| 43′ | G. Kaya | ||
| 45′ | Felix Afena-Gyan | ||
| 54′ | Hüseyin Karabey | ||
| 62′ | M. BuljubasicB. Samudio | ||
| 62′ | Douglas TanqueA. Colak | ||
| 62′ | M. CamaraM. Yilmaz | ||
| 63′ | Y. ErdoganA. Zeqiri | ||
| 66′ | Giovanni Crociata | ||
| 71′ | H. KarabeyD. Senyurt | ||
| 76′ | E. KasE. Alic | ||
| 76′ | B. CobanF. Orak | ||
| 77′ | Erdem Canpolat | ||
| 77′ | Doğan Erdoğan | ||
| 89′ | F. Afena-GyanS. Asan | ||
| 89′ | G. KayaD. Hotic | ||
| 90′ | Dino Hotić |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 411 | Accurate passes | 147 |
Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK
| Probability | Esenler Erokspor | Draw | Iğdır FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 32.1% | 25.0% |
| Market | 50.7% | 25.5% | 23.9% |
| Final | 48.7% | 27.1% | 24.1% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +6.6% | +1.1% |
Why Esenler Erokspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.87.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esenler Erokspor and Iğdır FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Esenler Erokspor and Iğdır FK attack and defence ratings
Esenler Erokspor
Iğdır FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK: result vs prediction
Esenler Erokspor 0 – 1 Iğdır FK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esenler Erokspor | 48.7% | 2.05 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esenler Erokspor | 48.7% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Iğdır FK | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esenler Erokspor win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 13.8% |
Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK stats
Esenler Erokspor and Iğdır FK recent form
| Esenler Erokspor |
DDDLDL |
| Iğdır FK |
LLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esenler Erokspor and Iğdır FK going into this match
Esenler Erokspor record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iğdır FK record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Iğdır FK | Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Esenler Erokspor | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 25.5%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.60 | 3.84 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.60 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.87 | 3.97 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .