Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor

0 – 0 Full time

31′Berşan Yavuzay
31′Boran Başkan
45′Erkan Kaş
46′B. BaskanE. Arslan
46′A. TurkR. Providence
46′A. ZeqiriM. Faye
49′Ruben Providence
66′Y. ErdoganB. Coban
70′A. HabesogluV. Aboubakar
71′E. KasE. Alic
71′N. JanvierM. Buljubasic
76′F. LoshajE. Koc
78′Emre Kaplan
83′B. SamudioK. Kanatsizkus
89′Y. SertkayaD. Sahin
90′Hayrullah Bilazer
90′Mikail Okyar

Bodrum Ilce Stadi, BodrumReferee: Rasit Yorgancilar, Türkiye

Bodrum FK 36%
Draw 32%
Esenler Erokspor 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 4
37 Possession % 63
1 Corners 4
15 Fouls 6
5 Offsides 1
4 Saves 4
225 Accurate passes 418

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodrum FKDrawEsenler Erokspor
Model38.3%41.5%20.2%
Market35.3%29.2%35.5%
Final36.1%32.2%31.7%
Edge+3.0%+12.3%-15.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Bodrum FK

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bodrum FK below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodrum FK ↓ / Esenler Eroksp → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 28% 1 21% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 72%
2+ goals 38%
3+ goals 14%
No goals 28%

Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor expected goals

Bodrum FK 0.80
Esenler Erokspor 0.50

Total expected goals: 1.30

Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor attack and defence ratings

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Esenler Erokspor

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor: result vs prediction

Bodrum FK 0 – 0 Esenler Erokspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bodrum FK 36.1% 2.77 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 85.7% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score No 77.2% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.3% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.7% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodrum FK36.1%
Draw32.2%
Esenler Erokspor31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.514.3%
Under 2.585.7%
Both teams to scoreYes22.8%
No77.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)63.9%
Handicap -1Bodrum FK win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss61.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-028.3%
1-020.6%
0-112.6%

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor stats

Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor recent form

newest first
Bodrum FK DDDLLW
Esenler Erokspor LDDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Esenler Erokspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Bodrum FK wins 1Draws 1Esenler Erokspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor1. Lig3-4
2025-10-19Esenler EroksporBodrum FK1. Lig1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 29.2%, away 35.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.70 3.20 2.40
1xBet 2.56 3.00 2.59
Bet365 2.55 3.10 2.55
BetVictor 2.55 3.20 2.55
Betano 2.62 3.15 2.60
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.60
Dafabet 2.65 3.20 2.65
Marathonbet 2.56 3.00 2.59
Pinnacle 2.69 3.20 2.74
SBO 2.44 2.91 2.39
Superbet 2.67 3.15 2.57
Unibet 2.38 3.20 2.63
William Hill 2.62 3.00 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▲ +0.22
X 3.15 ▼ -0.17
2 2.59 ▲ +0.02

9 snapshots recorded, from .