Antalyaspor
vs
Sivasspor
1 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Kamil Fidan | ||
| 29′ | Süleyman Özdamar | ||
| 37′ | Kamil FidanMert Celik | ||
| 38′ | F. Nzaba | ||
| 45′ | Süleyman ÖzdamarOkan Erdogan | ||
| 45′ | Ensar Tivsiz | ||
| 59′ | Erdoğan YeşilyurtGüray Vural | ||
| 59′ | Sander van de StreekDoğukan Sinik | ||
| 61′ | Rey Manaj | ||
| 70′ | Okan Erdogan | ||
| 71′ | Amilton da Silva | ||
| 72′ | Ramzi SafuriSamet Yalcin | ||
| 72′ | Ensar TivsizAhmet Sağat | ||
| 78′ | Burak KapacakCihat Celik | ||
| 78′ | Amilton da SilvaValon Ethemi | ||
| 78′ | M. MohammedSalih Kavrazlı | ||
| 79′ | Soner DikmenMevlüt Şimşek | ||
| 83′ | Rey Manaj | ||
| 90′ | Cihat Celik |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 420 | Accurate passes | 203 |
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor
| Probability | Antalyaspor | Draw | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 27.2% | 27.2% |
| Market | 41.4% | 27.4% | 31.1% |
| Final | 42.5% | 27.4% | 30.1% |
| Edge | +4.2% | -0.2% | -4.0% |
Why Antalyaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Antalyaspor below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antalyaspor and Sivasspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Antalyaspor and Sivasspor attack and defence ratings
Antalyaspor
Sivasspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor: result vs prediction
Antalyaspor 1 – 2 Sivasspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 42.5% | 2.35 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 42.5% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Sivasspor | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor stats
Antalyaspor and Sivasspor recent form
| Antalyaspor |
WLLLWW |
| Sivasspor |
DLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antalyaspor and Sivasspor going into this match
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Sivasspor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-29 | Antalyaspor | Sivasspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2024-01-24 | Antalyaspor | Sivasspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Sivasspor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-29 | Antalyaspor | Sivasspor | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Antalyaspor | Sivasspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-31 | Sivasspor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 0-2 |
| 2022-03-06 | Antalyaspor | Sivasspor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Sivasspor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2021-04-07 | Antalyaspor | Sivasspor | Süper Lig | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 27.7%, away 30.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.30 | 2.98 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.58 | 3.03 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .