1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 7

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor

1 – 1 Full time

10′Rey Manaj
13′Valon Ethemi
33′Ahmet Engin
36′Yalçın Koşukavak
45′M. MohammedCihat Celik
45′Mamady·DiarraKorede Osundina
56′Burak KapacakSalih Kavrazlı
67′Mert CelikOkan Erdogan
67′Yasin UzunogluIbrahim Sissoko
67′Buluthan BulutAli Kaan Guneren
67′Valon EthemiEbrima Ceesay
83′Daniel Avramovskiİ. Furat
83′Ahmet EnginOrhan Nahirci
86′Charilaos CharisisOguzhan Aksoy
90′Orhan Nahirci

Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu, SivasReferee: Fatih Tokail, Türkiye

Sivasspor 44%
Draw 28%
Muğlaspor 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
50 Possession % 50
5 Corners 10
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
5 Saves 2
266 Accurate passes 259

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySivassporDrawMuğlaspor
Model33.6%32.6%33.8%
Market47.0%27.1%25.9%
Final43.6%28.5%27.9%
Edge-13.4%+5.4%+7.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sivasspor ↓ / Muğlaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Sivasspor and Muğlaspor expected goals

Sivasspor 1.05
Muğlaspor 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.11

Sivasspor and Muğlaspor attack and defence ratings

Sivasspor

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Muğlaspor

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor: result vs prediction

Sivasspor 1 – 1 Muğlaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sivasspor 43.6% 2.29 -13.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sivasspor43.6%
Draw28.5%
Muğlaspor27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.3%
Under 2.564.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.8%
No56.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Sivasspor win13.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.5%
0-111.5%

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor stats

Sivasspor and Muğlaspor recent form

newest first
Sivasspor WDLDLD
Muğlaspor DWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sivasspor and Muğlaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sivasspor record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Muğlaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 27.4%, away 25.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.93 3.34 3.54
Bet365 1.90 3.30 3.50
BetVictor 1.93 3.40 3.60
Betano 2.02 3.30 3.55
Betfair 1.91 3.40 3.50
Dafabet 1.96 3.30 3.75
Marathonbet 1.91 3.34 3.48
Pinnacle 1.98 3.59 3.65
SBO 1.96 2.95 3.13
William Hill 2.00 3.25 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▼ -0.04
X 3.34 ▲ +0.10
2 3.50 ▼ -0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .