Antigua and Barbuda
vs
Trinidad and Tobago
Garuda Lions Prediction: Trinidad and Tobago
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Trinidad and Tobago is the favourite, not a value bet.
Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago
| Probability | Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 28.7% | 31.6% |
| Market | 11.8% | 18.4% | 69.9% |
| Final | 18.7% | 21.0% | 60.3% |
| Edge | +7.0% | +2.6% | -9.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -18.6% per unit staked (our 60.3% × 1.35 − 1).
Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago match preview
Antigua and Barbuda faces Trinidad and Tobago in the CONCACAF Nations League with a kickoff set for November 12, 2026. The probabilities indicate Trinidad and Tobago has a 60% chance of winning, while Antigua and Barbuda stands at 19%, with a 21% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1 in favor of Trinidad and Tobago, occurring at an 8% probability.
In terms of recent form, Antigua and Barbuda has recorded three wins followed by three losses, while Trinidad and Tobago has struggled with four consecutive matches without a win, resulting in two draws. The expected goals show Antigua and Barbuda at 1.39 and Trinidad and Tobago at 1.22, suggesting a competitive match, with both teams having a 54% chance of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antigua and Barbuda and Trinidad and Tobago expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Antigua and Barbuda and Trinidad and Tobago attack and defence ratings
Antigua and Barbuda
Trinidad and Tobago
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Play-In Final fixtures
Before and after this match
Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 60.3% | 1.66 | -9.6% | 1.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua and Barbuda | 18.7% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 60.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trinidad and Tobago win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 68.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.7% |
Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago stats
Antigua and Barbuda and Trinidad and Tobago recent form
| Antigua and Barbuda |
WWWLLL |
| Trinidad and Tobago |
DLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-12 | Trinidad and Tobago | Antigua and Barbuda | Caribbean Cup | 1-0 |
| 2012-12-09 | Antigua and Barbuda | Trinidad and Tobago | Caribbean Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.8%, draw 18.4%, away 69.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.95 | 5.10 | 1.32 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 7.60 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 8.40 | 5.60 | 1.35 |
| Marathonbet | 7.90 | 5.10 | 1.31 |
| Pinnacle | 7.73 | 5.15 | 1.33 |
| SBO | 6.47 | 4.60 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 |