Trinidad and Tobago
vs
Antigua and Barbuda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Trinidad and Tobago
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Trinidad and Tobago vs Antigua and Barbuda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trinidad and Tobago vs Antigua and Barbuda
| Probability | Trinidad and Tobago | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 28.9% | 35.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.7% | 28.9% | 35.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Trinidad and Tobago vs Antigua and Barbuda match preview
Trinidad and Tobago will face Antigua and Barbuda in the CONCACAF Nations League on November 17, 2026. According to our model, Trinidad and Tobago has a 36% chance of winning, while Antigua and Barbuda stands at 35%, with a 29% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Trinidad and Tobago, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to have similar offensive outputs, with expected goals of 1.31 for Trinidad and Tobago and 1.30 for Antigua and Barbuda.
In terms of recent form, Trinidad and Tobago has struggled with a record of D-L-L-L-D-D, while Antigua and Barbuda has seen more success, winning three of their last six matches, although they have also experienced two losses. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 48%, and there is a 54% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trinidad and Tobago and Antigua and Barbuda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Trinidad and Tobago and Antigua and Barbuda attack and defence ratings
Trinidad and Tobago
Antigua and Barbuda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Play-In Final fixtures
Before and after this match
Trinidad and Tobago vs Antigua and Barbuda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 35.7% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 35.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trinidad and Tobago win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Trinidad and Tobago vs Antigua and Barbuda stats
Trinidad and Tobago and Antigua and Barbuda recent form
| Trinidad and Tobago |
DLLLDD |
| Antigua and Barbuda |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trinidad and Tobago vs Antigua and Barbuda head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-12 | Trinidad and Tobago | Antigua and Barbuda | Caribbean Cup | 1-0 |
| 2012-12-09 | Antigua and Barbuda | Trinidad and Tobago | Caribbean Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.