Araz
vs
Zira
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zira
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.07.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Araz vs Zira overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Araz vs Zira
| Probability | Araz | Draw | Zira |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.6% | 24.7% | 54.7% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 20.6% | 24.7% | 54.7% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Zira
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Araz vs Zira match preview
Araz faces Zira in the upcoming Premyer Liqa match, with the probabilities indicating a strong advantage for Zira at 55%, while Araz stands at 21% and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 57% likelihood that both will find the net, and a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Araz has struggled, recording four losses and one draw in their last six matches. Zira, on the other hand, has had a mixed performance with one win, two draws, and three losses in the same period. The expected goals for Araz is 1.07, while Zira's is notably higher at 1.85, reflecting their offensive capabilities heading into this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Araz and Zira expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Araz and Zira attack and defence ratings
Araz
Zira
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Araz vs Zira markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zira | 54.7% | 1.83 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Araz | 20.6% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Zira | 54.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zira win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.2% |
Araz vs Zira stats
Araz and Zira recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Araz and Zira season so far
Araz record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zira record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Araz vs Zira head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Araz | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-27 | Araz | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Zira | Araz | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.