Kapaz
vs
Imisli FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kapaz
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kapaz vs Imisli FK
| Probability | Kapaz | Draw | Imisli FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 31.8% | 26.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 42.2% | 31.8% | 26.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Kapaz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK match preview
Kapaz will face Imisli FK in the upcoming Premyer Liqa match on November 1, 2026. According to our model, Kapaz has a 42% chance of winning, while Imisli FK holds a 26% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Kapaz, with an expected goals tally of 1.23 for Kapaz and 0.91 for Imisli FK. Recent form shows Kapaz with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, contrasting with Imisli FK's two wins and four losses.
In their last three encounters, Kapaz has not secured a victory, recording one draw and two losses against Imisli FK. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36%, and both teams scoring is projected at 44%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kapaz and Imisli FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Kapaz and Imisli FK attack and defence ratings
Kapaz
Imisli FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kapaz vs Imisli FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kapaz | 42.2% | 2.37 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kapaz | 42.2% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Imisli FK | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kapaz win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Kapaz vs Imisli FK stats
Kapaz and Imisli FK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kapaz and Imisli FK season so far
Kapaz record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Imisli FK record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kapaz vs Imisli FK head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Kapaz | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-09 | Imisli FK | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Kapaz | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.