Zira
vs
Sumqayıt
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zira
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Zira vs Sumqayıt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zira vs Sumqayıt
| Probability | Zira | Draw | Sumqayıt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 27.9% | 34.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.8% | 27.9% | 34.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Zira vs Sumqayıt match preview
Zira faces Sumqayıt in the upcoming Premyer Liqa match, with Zira holding a 41% probability of winning, compared to 31% for Sumqayıt and a 27% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Zira, with an expected goals tally of 1.51 for Zira and 1.29 for Sumqayıt.
In terms of recent form, Zira has recorded two wins in their last six matches, along with three draws and a loss, while Sumqayıt has struggled with one win and five matches without a victory. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 53%, and both teams scoring stands at 58%, indicating a potentially competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zira and Sumqayıt expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Zira and Sumqayıt attack and defence ratings
Zira
Sumqayıt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zira vs Sumqayıt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zira | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zira | 37.8% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Sumqayıt | 34.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zira win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Zira vs Sumqayıt stats
Zira and Sumqayıt recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zira and Sumqayıt season so far
Zira record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sumqayıt record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zira vs Sumqayıt head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Zira | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sumqayıt | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Zira | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.