Coritiba
vs
Corinthians
2 – 1 Full time
Coritiba vs Corinthians overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coritiba vs Corinthians
| Probability | Coritiba | Draw | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.3% | 33.9% | 34.8% |
| Market | 31.6% | 31.9% | 36.5% |
| Final | 31.6% | 32.4% | 36.1% |
| Edge | -0.3% | +2.0% | -1.7% |
Why Corinthians
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coritiba and Corinthians expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Coritiba and Corinthians attack and defence ratings
Coritiba
Corinthians
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Coritiba vs Corinthians: result vs prediction
Coritiba 2 – 1 Corinthians
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coritiba vs Corinthians markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corinthians | 36.1% | 2.77 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coritiba | 31.6% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Corinthians | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Corinthians win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.9% |
Coritiba vs Corinthians stats
Coritiba and Corinthians recent form
| Coritiba |
DWLDLL |
| Corinthians |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coritiba and Corinthians going into this match
Coritiba record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Corinthians record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Coritiba vs Corinthians head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Corinthians | Coritiba | Brazil Serie A | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coritiba vs Corinthians odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 31.9%, away 36.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.15 | 2.98 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 2.99 | 2.65 |
| 888Sport | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.95 | 2.90 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09 | 2.98 | 2.66 |
| SBO | 2.75 | 2.86 | 2.52 |
| Superbet | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 2.95 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .