Corinthians
vs
Santos
0 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Álvaro Barreal | ||
| 20′ | Willian Arão | ||
| 24′ | Gustavo HenriqueC. Oliva | ||
| 31′ | Gabriel Paulista | ||
| 33′ | C. Oliva | ||
| 45′ | Raniele | ||
| 45′ | Rodrigo Garro | ||
| 45′ | Lucas Veríssimo | ||
| 64′ | AllanPedro Raul | ||
| 66′ | Gabriel BontempoRony | ||
| 73′ | Gabriel BarbosaB. Rollheiser | ||
| 73′ | A. BarrealD. Fernandes | ||
| 77′ | DieguinhoGui Negao | ||
| 84′ | RanieleM. Pereira |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 515 | Accurate passes | 290 |
Corinthians vs Santos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Corinthians vs Santos
| Probability | Corinthians | Draw | Santos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 31.4% | 25.9% |
| Market | 50.9% | 27.7% | 21.4% |
| Final | 48.9% | 28.6% | 22.5% |
| Edge | -8.2% | +3.7% | +4.5% |
Why Corinthians
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Corinthians and Santos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Corinthians and Santos attack and defence ratings
Corinthians
Santos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Corinthians vs Santos: result vs prediction
Corinthians 0 – 1 Santos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Corinthians vs Santos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corinthians | 48.9% | 2.05 | -8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corinthians | 48.9% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Santos | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Corinthians win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Corinthians vs Santos stats
Corinthians and Santos recent form
| Corinthians |
LWLDWW |
| Santos |
LDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Corinthians and Santos going into this match
Corinthians record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santos record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Corinthians vs Santos head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Santos | Corinthians | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Santos | Corinthians | Brazil Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Corinthians | Santos | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Corinthians vs Santos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 27.7%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.50 | 4.52 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.45 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.45 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.43 | 4.49 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.01 | 3.74 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .