Santos
vs
Palmeiras
0 – 0 Full time
| 1′ | Felipe Anderson | ||
| 1′ | Gonzalo Escobar | ||
| 29′ | Álvaro BarrealBenjamín Rollheiser | ||
| 34′ | Gabriel Bontempo | ||
| 39′ | Agustin Giay | ||
| 39′ | Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira | ||
| 45′ | Igor ViniciusDavi Fernandes Cavalcane Ribeiro | ||
| 45′ | Neymar da Silva Santos JúniorRony | ||
| 45′ | Lucas VeríssimoMoisés | ||
| 45′ | José Manuel LópezVitor Roque | ||
| 45′ | Felipe AndersonKhellven Douglas Silva Oliveira | ||
| 64′ | Rafael Gonzaga | ||
| 64′ | Vitor Roque | ||
| 76′ | Marlon FreitasEmiliano Martínez | ||
| 86′ | Gabriel Barbosa | ||
| 86′ | Andreas PereiraLuis Pacheco | ||
| 86′ | Gabriel BarbosaThaciano | ||
| 88′ | Lucas EvangelistaLarson Torna Ferreira dos Santos | ||
| 89′ | Luis Pacheco |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 525 | Accurate passes | 271 |
Santos vs Palmeiras overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santos vs Palmeiras
| Probability | Santos | Draw | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.9% | 27.8% | 43.3% |
| Market | 27.2% | 29.4% | 43.4% |
| Final | 27.6% | 29.0% | 43.4% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
Why Palmeiras
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.20.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Santos and Palmeiras expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Santos and Palmeiras attack and defence ratings
Santos
Palmeiras
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Santos vs Palmeiras: result vs prediction
Santos 0 – 0 Palmeiras
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Santos vs Palmeiras markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palmeiras | 43.4% | 2.31 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos | 27.6% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Palmeiras | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Palmeiras win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 8.9% |
Santos vs Palmeiras stats
Santos and Palmeiras recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santos and Palmeiras going into this match
Santos record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Palmeiras record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Santos vs Palmeiras head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Palmeiras | Santos | Copa Do Brasil | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Palmeiras | Santos | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Palmeiras | Santos | Paulista - A1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Santos | Palmeiras | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Palmeiras | Santos | Brazil Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Santos | Palmeiras | Paulista - A1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-07 | Palmeiras | Santos | Paulista - A1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-31 | Santos | Palmeiras | Paulista - A1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-28 | Palmeiras | Santos | Paulista - A1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Palmeiras | Santos | Serie A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santos vs Palmeiras odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 29.4%, away 43.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.45 | 3.30 | 2.08 |
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.08 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.40 | 3.02 | 2.24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50 | 2.95 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .