Brazil Serie A
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Internacional
vs
Santos
2 – 3 Full time
| 5′ | Benjamín Rollheiser | ||
| 8′ | Gabriel Barbosa | ||
| 28′ | Matheus Bahia | ||
| 29′ | Gabriel Barbosa | ||
| 39′ | Christian Oliva | ||
| 45′ | Antonio SanabriaBrian Aguirre | ||
| 48′ | Brian Aguirre | ||
| 55′ | Gustavo CaballeroArthur Melo | ||
| 59′ | Gabriel Barbosa | ||
| 62′ | Thiago MaiaPaulo Lucas Santos de Paula | ||
| 65′ | Ronaldo da Silva Souza | ||
| 69′ | Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula | ||
| 69′ | Gonzalo Escobar | ||
| 69′ | Gustavo Henrique | ||
| 69′ | Vitinho | ||
| 75′ | Alan PatrickBruno Henrique | ||
| 75′ | Ronaldo da Silva SouzaRodrigo Villagra | ||
| 78′ | Brian Aguirre | ||
| 78′ | Gabriel BarbosaThaciano | ||
| 78′ | Gabriel BontempoVinicius Moreira de Lima | ||
| 83′ | Gustavo HenriqueJoão Schmidt | ||
| 83′ | Benjamín RollheiserMiguelito | ||
| 85′ | Johan CarboneroNiclas Eliasson | ||
| 90′ | Bruno Henrique |
Internacional
43%
Draw
30%
Santos
27%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 330 | Accurate passes | 545 |
Internacional vs Santos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional vs Santos
| Probability | Internacional | Draw | Santos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 33.5% | 36.0% |
| Market | 47.1% | 28.3% | 24.6% |
| Final | 43.0% | 29.6% | 27.5% |
| Edge | -16.5% | +5.2% | +11.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Internacional and Santos expected goals
Internacional
0.95
Santos
1.05
Total expected goals: 2.00
Internacional and Santos attack and defence ratings
Internacional
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Santos
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Internacional vs Santos: result vs prediction
Internacional 2 – 3 Santos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Internacional vs Santos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 43.0% | 2.33 | -16.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 43.0% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Santos | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.2% |
| No | 58.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional win | 11.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 69.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 12.9% |
Internacional vs Santos stats
Internacional and Santos recent form
| Internacional |
LLDDDD |
| Santos |
DWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional and Santos going into this match
Internacional record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santos record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Internacional vs Santos head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Internacional wins
5Draws
1Santos wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Santos | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-25 | Internacional | Santos | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-24 | Santos | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-22 | Internacional | Santos | Serie A | 7-1 |
| 2023-06-04 | Santos | Internacional | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Internacional | Santos | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-09 | Santos | Internacional | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Internacional | Santos | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Santos | Internacional | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2020-11-14 | Santos | Internacional | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Internacional vs Santos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 27.8%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.96 | 3.45 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.52 | 3.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.42 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.36 | 3.99 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▲ +0.03
X
3.33 ▼ -0.12
2
3.83 ▲ +0.15
19 snapshots recorded, from .