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Brazil Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 26

RB Bragantino vs Bahia

2 – 3 Full time

14′Lucas Barbosa
34′Luciano Juba
38′A. Veliz
43′Fernando
45′S. Ramos
50′Erick
51′Erick
62′Luciano Juba
68′J. HerreraH. Mosquera
68′ErickJean Lucas
68′Erick PulgaAdemir
78′Nicolas AcevedoCaio Alexandre
78′RodrigoMichel Araujo
82′A. HurtadoR. Tavares
82′Wallace YanVinicinho
82′Lucas BarbosaJhuan
82′A. VelizWillian Jose
90′RodriguinhoGustavo Neves

Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, BraganzaReferee: Maguielson Lima Barbosa

RB Bragantino 46%
Draw 27%
Bahia 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 5
51 Possession % 49
10 Corners 8
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 9
326 Accurate passes 311

RB Bragantino vs Bahia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: RB Bragantino vs Bahia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRB BragantinoDrawBahia
Model41.6%31.1%27.3%
Market47.2%26.2%26.6%
Final45.8%27.4%26.8%
Edge-5.6%+4.9%+0.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

RB Bragantino ↓ / Bahia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

RB Bragantino and Bahia expected goals

RB Bragantino 1.26
Bahia 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.24

RB Bragantino and Bahia attack and defence ratings

RB Bragantino

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Bahia

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

RB Bragantino vs Bahia: result vs prediction

RB Bragantino 2 – 3 Bahia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Brazil Serie A

Before and after this match

RB Bragantino vs Bahia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 RB Bragantino 45.8% 2.18 -5.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 53.9% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2RB Bragantino45.8%
Draw27.4%
Bahia26.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.8%
Under 2.561.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.1%
No53.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.2%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1RB Bragantino win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-012.1%
0-011.9%

RB Bragantino vs Bahia stats

RB Bragantino and Bahia recent form

newest first
RB Bragantino LWDDLL
Bahia WWDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

RB Bragantino and Bahia going into this match

league record before kick-off

RB Bragantino record

  • They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).

Bahia record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

RB Bragantino vs Bahia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3RB Bragantino wins 2Draws 5Bahia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18BahiaRB BragantinoBrazil Serie A2-0
2025-11-02BahiaRB BragantinoBrazil Serie A2-1
2025-06-12RB BragantinoBahiaBrazil Serie A0-3
2024-09-01RB BragantinoBahiaSerie A2-1
2024-05-12BahiaRB BragantinoSerie A1-0
2023-08-20BahiaRB BragantinoSerie A4-0
2023-04-15RB BragantinoBahiaSerie A2-1
2021-09-19BahiaRB BragantinoSerie A1-1
2021-06-06RB BragantinoBahiaSerie A3-3
2020-11-20RB BragantinoBahiaSerie A4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

RB Bragantino vs Bahia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 26.7%, away 26.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.00 3.50 3.50
1xBet 2.03 3.70 3.58
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.70
BetVictor 2.00 3.60 3.50
Betano 2.07 3.50 3.55
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.40
Dafabet 2.08 3.50 3.65
Marathonbet 1.97 3.60 3.48
Pinnacle 2.05 3.67 3.67
SBO 2.01 3.05 3.08
Unibet 2.05 3.35 3.50
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.16
X 3.60 ▲ +0.23
2 3.54 ▲ +0.29

17 snapshots recorded, from .