Brazil Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 27

Bahia vs Remo

2 – 1 Full time

8′Nicolas Acevedo
20′Jean Lucas
45′Ze RicardoVitor Bueno
45′Duplexe Tchamba BangouGabriel Taliari
45′Leonel PiccoJosé Welison
50′Jandir Breno Souza SilvaAlef·Manga
70′Matheus Felipe
72′Marcos VictorRomán Gómez
79′erick pulgaAdemir
79′Jean LucasÉverton Ribeiro
79′Nicolas AcevedoCaio Alexandre
84′Antonio GaleanoGabriel Poveda
90′Luciano
90′Vitor Bueno
90′Alejo VelizEveraldo Stum
90′Cristian Olivera

Arena Fonte Nova, El SalvadorReferee: Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima

Bahia 66%
Draw 20%
Remo 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
7 Corners 6
18 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
2 Saves 7
482 Accurate passes 261

Bahia vs Remo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bahia vs Remo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBahiaDrawRemo
Model65.4%21.0%13.6%
Market66.4%20.1%13.5%
Final66.1%20.4%13.5%
Edge-1.0%+0.9%+0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Bahia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bahia ↓ / Remo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 10% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Bahia and Remo expected goals

Bahia 2.17
Remo 0.91

Total expected goals: 3.08

Bahia and Remo attack and defence ratings

Bahia

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Remo

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bahia vs Remo: result vs prediction

Bahia 2 – 1 Remo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Brazil Serie A

Before and after this match

Bahia vs Remo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bahia 66.1% 1.51 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Bahia win 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bahia66.1%
Draw20.4%
Remo13.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.4%
Under 2.540.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.5%
12 (either side)79.6%
X2 (draw or away)33.9%
Handicap -1Bahia win42.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss34.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.9%
1-110.0%
2-19.8%

Bahia vs Remo stats

Bahia and Remo recent form

newest first
Bahia WWWDDD
Remo LLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bahia and Remo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bahia record

  • They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Remo record

  • They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bahia vs Remo head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Bahia wins 0Draws 3Remo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-14RemoBahiaCopa Do Brasil2-1
2026-04-22BahiaRemoCopa Do Brasil1-3
2026-03-22RemoBahiaBrazil Serie A4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bahia vs Remo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.9%, draw 20.7%, away 13.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.41 4.35 7.60
1xBet 1.45 4.78 6.94
888Sport 1.40 4.40 6.50
Bet365 1.44 4.33 7.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.80 7.00
Betano 1.47 4.70 7.40
Betfair 1.40 4.50 6.50
Dafabet 1.45 4.80 7.00
Marathonbet 1.41 4.65 6.75
Pinnacle 1.43 4.94 7.29
SBO 1.37 4.07 5.80
Unibet 1.45 4.30 6.75
William Hill 1.40 4.50 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.41 ▼ -0.01
X 4.65 ▲ +0.15
2 6.94 ▼ -0.06

14 snapshots recorded, from .