Mirassol
vs
Vitoria
2 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira | ||
| 12′ | Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira | ||
| 18′ | Emanuel Brítez | ||
| 29′ | Alesson dos Santos Batista | ||
| 42′ | Gustavo Henric da SilvaEdson Carioca | ||
| 45′ | Caíque Gonçalves | ||
| 57′ | Wallisson | ||
| 63′ | WallissonShaylon Kallyson Cardozo | ||
| 63′ | Alesson dos Santos BatistaFernandinho | ||
| 64′ | Willian Estefani Machado | ||
| 68′ | Bruno Santos de Oliveira | ||
| 69′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveAndré Luis | ||
| 69′ | Willian Estefani MachadoLucas Oliveira | ||
| 70′ | ErickMarinho | ||
| 70′ | Diego TarziaTomás Pochettino | ||
| 77′ | Caíque GonçalvesEdenilson | ||
| 81′ | Carlos Renê de Sousa FerreiraRenato Kayzer | ||
| 89′ | Marinho | ||
| 90′ | Edson Carioca | ||
| 90′ | Edson Carioca | ||
| 90′ | Matheusinho | ||
| 90′ | Edenilson | ||
| 90′ | Fernandinho |
Match stats
| 27 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 75 | Possession % | 25 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 538 | Accurate passes | 132 |
Mirassol vs Vitoria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mirassol vs Vitoria
| Probability | Mirassol | Draw | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 33.0% | 21.8% |
| Market | 54.1% | 25.6% | 20.3% |
| Final | 51.9% | 27.4% | 20.7% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +7.5% | +1.4% |
Why Mirassol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.74.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mirassol and Vitoria expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.92
Mirassol and Vitoria attack and defence ratings
Mirassol
Vitoria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mirassol vs Vitoria: result vs prediction
Mirassol 2 – 2 Vitoria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mirassol vs Vitoria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirassol | 51.9% | 1.93 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirassol | 51.9% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Vitoria | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.6% |
| No | 62.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mirassol win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.0% |
| 0-0 | 15.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Mirassol vs Vitoria stats
Mirassol and Vitoria recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mirassol and Vitoria going into this match
Mirassol record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
Vitoria record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Mirassol vs Vitoria head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Vitoria | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Vitoria | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Mirassol | Vitoria | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-01 | Vitoria | Mirassol | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-19 | Mirassol | Vitoria | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-07 | Mirassol | Vitoria | Serie C | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mirassol vs Vitoria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 25.9%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.76 | 4.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.65 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.55 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.66 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.79 | 4.97 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.19 | 3.91 |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .