Brazil Serie A · 2026-09-12T23:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 27

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

1 – 1 Full time

30′			Lucas Monzon
44′			Wallace Yan
45′			Lucas VillalbaKadir Barría
56′			Vitinho
60′			Isidro PittaEduardo Santos
60′			Agustin Sant AnnaJosé Hurtado Cheme
65′			Lucas Monzon
67′			Alex TellesPaulinho
70′			Nahuel Ferraresi
73′			Tiago Volpi
73′			Kadir Barría
74′			Júnior SantosTiquinho Soares
74′			DaniloKauan Toledo
77′			Juninho Capixaba
81′			VitinhoMateo Ponte
82′			Lucas Henrique BarbosaJose Herrera
87′			Eric RamiresMatheus Fernandes
87′			Fábio Silva de FreitasGabriel Girotto

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de JaneiroReferee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho

Botafogo

39%

Draw

28%

RB Bragantino

32%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

21	Shots	14
6	Shots on target	8
64	Possession %	36
5	Corners	3
11	Fouls	9
4	Offsides	1
8	Saves	5
371	Accurate passes	193

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Botafogo	Draw	RB Bragantino
Model	36.5%	31.3%	32.2%
Market	40.3%	27.3%	32.4%
Final	39.4%	28.3%	32.3%
Edge	-3.8%	+4.0%	-0.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

88%

2+ goals

67%

3+ goals

39%

No goals

12%

Botafogo and RB Bragantino expected goals

Botafogo

1.17

RB Bragantino

1.08

Total expected goals: 2.26

Botafogo and RB Bragantino attack and defence ratings

Botafogo

Attack

0.82 -18%

Defence

1.11 +11%

RB Bragantino

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino: result vs prediction

Botafogo 1 – 1 RB Bragantino

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Brazil Serie A

Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense · 2026-09-12
Gremio v Vasco DA Gama — match page · 2026-09-12
Atletico-MG v Fluminense — match page · 2026-09-12
Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo — match page · 2026-09-12
Santos vs Cruzeiro · 2026-09-13
Mirassol vs Vitoria — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Flamengo vs Corinthians — team news & stats · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Botafogo, previous: Botafogo vs Palmeiras prediction
Botafogo, next: Botafogo – Gremio, 2026-09-16
RB Bragantino, previous: RB Bragantino – Bahia, 2026-09-05
RB Bragantino, next: Flamengo v RB Bragantino analysis

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Botafogo	39.4%	2.54	-3.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	60.7%	1.65	—	—
Both teams to score	No	53.0%	1.89	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.7%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	63.5%	1.58	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Botafogo	39.4%
	Draw	28.3%
	RB Bragantino	32.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	39.3%
	Under 2.5	60.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	47.0%
	No	53.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	67.7%
	12 (either side)	71.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.6%
Handicap -1	Botafogo win	15.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.6%
	Loss	63.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.6%
	0-0	11.8%
	1-0	10.9%

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino stats

Botafogo and RB Bragantino recent form

newest first

Botafogo	DLLWLL
RB Bragantino	LLWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Botafogo and RB Bragantino going into this match

league record before kick-off

Botafogo record

They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

RB Bragantino record

They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Botafogo wins 2Draws 1RB Bragantino wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-21	RB Bragantino	Botafogo	Brazil Serie A	1-2
2025-08-30	Botafogo	RB Bragantino	Brazil Serie A	4-1
2025-08-06	RB Bragantino	Botafogo	Copa Do Brasil	0-1
2025-07-29	Botafogo	RB Bragantino	Copa Do Brasil	2-0
2025-04-12	RB Bragantino	Botafogo	Brazil Serie A	1-0
2024-10-26	RB Bragantino	Botafogo	Serie A	0-1
2024-06-26	Botafogo	RB Bragantino	Serie A	2-1
2024-03-14	RB Bragantino	Botafogo	CONMEBOL Libertadores	1-1
2024-03-07	Botafogo	RB Bragantino	CONMEBOL Libertadores	2-1
2023-11-12	RB Bragantino	Botafogo	Serie A	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 27.3%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.40	3.44	2.99
Bet365	2.38	3.30	3.00
BetVictor	2.30	3.50	2.88
Betano	2.35	3.50	2.95
Betfair	2.25	3.50	2.88
Marathonbet	2.33	3.35	2.90
Pinnacle	2.40	3.51	2.98
SBO	2.30	3.19	2.78
William Hill	2.30	3.20	2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.23

X 3.44 ▲ +0.14

2 2.90 ▼ -0.50

16 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-05T08:10:01Z.